Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SB Castelo Branco vs Oliveira Hospital

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SB Castelo Branco play Oliveira Hospital in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group C. It looks like a close match. Recently, SB Castelo Branco averaged 1.14 goals scored and 1 conceded. Oliveira Hospital averaged 2.13 goals scored and 0.38 conceded. In past meetings, SB Castelo Branco won 1, Oliveira Hospital won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on Mar 21, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.76 for SB Castelo Branco and 1.56 for Oliveira Hospital. This points to a SB Castelo Branco double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
SB Castelo Branco
30%
Draws
34%
Oliveira Hospital
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: SB Castelo Branco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • SB Castelo Branco has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Oliveira Hospital.
  • Model forecasts a 36% win probability edge for SB Castelo Branco.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Campeonato de Portugal - Group C provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 79.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
SB Castelo Branco Clean Sheet 68%
Oliveira Hospital Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SB Castelo Branco Oliveira Hospital
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 17 14
Draws 4 11
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.14 2.13
Goals Conceded 1 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.14 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
SB Castelo Branco vs Oliveira Hospital
1:1
Nov 29, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Oliveira Hospital vs SB Castelo Branco
2:0
May 16, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Oliveira Hospital vs SB Castelo Branco
2:2
Apr 24, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
SB Castelo Branco vs Oliveira Hospital
1:1
Feb 27, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
SB Castelo Branco vs Oliveira Hospital
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SB Castelo Branco Compare

Avg xG / game 0.88
Avg xA / game 0.57

Oliveira Hospital Compare

Top Goalscorer Barge G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SB Castelo Branco 46 / 100
Oliveira Hospital 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SB Castelo Branco Oliveira Hospital

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SB Castelo Branco scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Oliveira Hospital let in goals in 53% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

SB Castelo Branco went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Oliveira Hospital lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SB Castelo Branco VS Oliveira Hospital
1.14 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 0.38
71% Over 1.5 88%
29% Over 2.5 38%
14% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vitoria Sernache26167333:1255
2Oliveira Hospital26148439:1350
3Naval 189326146636:2348
4SB Castelo Branco26144843:2646
5Uniao Da Serra26128638:2744
6Mortagua FC26116923:2639
7Os Marialvas261061033:2836
8Fatima26881027:2932
9Lajense26881037:3732
10GD Peniche26861234:4330
11Samora Correia26851327:3529
12Marinhense26591220:3824
13Electrico FC26541733:6219
14SC Lusitania26451724:4817