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SB Castelo Branco vs Tocha

Portugal Portugal

Second Division - Zona Centro
SB Castelo Branco Logo

SB Castelo Branco

4 - 0
FT
Tocha Logo

Tocha

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

SB Castelo Branco in this Second Division - Zona Centro matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored SB Castelo Branco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
SB Castelo Branco
15%
Draws
28%
Tocha
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SB Castelo Branco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to SB Castelo Branco lately — more wins on the board than Tocha.
  • Win probability leans SB Castelo Branco's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
SB Castelo Branco Clean Sheet 20%
Tocha Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SB Castelo Branco Tocha
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 3
Draws 3 9
Losses 10 18
Goals Scored 2 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2013 Second Division - Zona Centro
SB Castelo Branco vs Tocha
4:0
Oct 14, 2012 Second Division - Zona Centro
Tocha vs SB Castelo Branco
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SB Castelo Branco 40 / 100
Tocha 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SB Castelo Branco Tocha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SB Castelo Branco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SB Castelo Branco's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Tocha's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Tocha lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SB Castelo Branco VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SB Castelo Branco

(Home)
13 Sept
SB Castelo Branco
2 : 3
Nogueirense
06 Sept
Alverca B
0 : 1
SB Castelo Branco
29 Aug
Fatima
3 : 1
SB Castelo Branco
23 Aug
SB Castelo Branco
1 : 4
Naval 1893
16 Aug
Oliveira Hospital
2 : 3
SB Castelo Branco
Page 1 of 6

Tocha

(Away)
21 Sept
Tocha
1 : 4
Penafiel
23 Sept
Tocha
2 : 4
Rebordosa
10 Sept
Lusitano FCV
0 : 2
Tocha
27 Sept
Anca
3 : 1
Tocha
03 Sept
Tocha
1 : 2
Esmoriz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Academico Viseu 30 16 10 4 47:21 58
2 Cinfaes 30 14 11 5 50:31 53
3 Operario 30 13 9 8 44:33 48
4 SC Espinho 30 13 9 8 36:32 48
5 SB Castelo Branco 30 12 10 8 44:33 46
6 FC Pampilhosa 30 13 7 10 42:38 46
7 Sousense 30 10 11 9 37:34 41
8 Anadia 30 12 4 14 31:38 40
9 Sao Joao de Ver 30 11 7 12 35:39 40
10 Coimbroes 30 8 13 9 35:41 37
11 Nogueirense 30 9 9 12 34:39 36
12 GD Tourizense 30 8 11 11 27:31 35
13 FC Cesarense 30 8 10 12 28:35 34
14 Bustelo 30 6 13 11 32:41 31
15 SC Lusitania 30 6 11 13 38:50 29
16 Tocha 30 3 11 16 24:48 20
Promotion - Segunda Liga 2013/2014 (Main)