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SBV Excelsior W vs Feyenoord W

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie Women 2025/2026 Stadion Woudestein
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SBV Excelsior W play Feyenoord W in the Eredivisie Women 2025/2026. Feyenoord W are favorites here. Recently, SBV Excelsior W averaged 1.19 goals scored and 2.15 conceded. Feyenoord W averaged 1.82 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. In past meetings, SBV Excelsior W won 0, Feyenoord W won 5, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 8, 2026 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.88 for SBV Excelsior W and 2.00 for Feyenoord W. This points to a Feyenoord W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
SBV Excelsior W
15%
Draws
68%
Feyenoord W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Feyenoord W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

94% / Very High Confidence
  • SBV Excelsior W picked up more points recently compared to Feyenoord W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.88 vs 2.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
SBV Excelsior W Clean Sheet 10%
Feyenoord W Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SBV Excelsior W Feyenoord W
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 5 16
Draws 2 5
Losses 20 7
Goals Scored 1.19 1.82
Goals Conceded 2.15 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 Eredivisie Women
SBV Excelsior W vs Feyenoord W
0:3
Jan 18, 2026 Eredivisie Women
Feyenoord W vs SBV Excelsior W
1:0
Jul 25, 2025 Club Friendly Women
Feyenoord W vs SBV Excelsior W
5:1
May 3, 2025 Eredivisie Women
Feyenoord W vs SBV Excelsior W
7:0
Feb 15, 2025 KNVB Beker Women
SBV Excelsior W vs Feyenoord W
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SBV Excelsior W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Feyenoord W Compare

Top Goalscorer DellaPeruta V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Haverhoek T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SBV Excelsior W 17 / 100
Feyenoord W 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SBV Excelsior W Feyenoord W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Feyenoord W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Feyenoord W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +88.9%
11.11
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.79
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

SBV Excelsior W attacking → ← attacking Feyenoord W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SBV Excelsior W scored in 59% of their last 27 games.

Feyenoord W let in goals in 57% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

SBV Excelsior W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Feyenoord W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

17 Points in last 5 53
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
2.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1PSV W22173256:1554
2Ajax W22155255:1850
3Feyenoord W22145345:1747
4Twente W22144455:1946
5Utrecht W22114741:3737
6PEC Zwolle W221111035:3234
7Heerenveen W22821238:5126
8AZ Alkmaar W22661036:4624
9Den Haag W22641224:4522
10Hera United W22551224:4220
11SBV Excelsior W22221818:518
12NAC Breda W22211917:717