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SBV Excelsior W vs Heerenveen W

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie Women 2025/2026 Stadion Woudestein
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AI Match Summary

SBV Excelsior W play Heerenveen W in the Eredivisie Women 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, SBV Excelsior W averaged 0.75 goals scored and 2.38 conceded. Heerenveen W averaged 1.88 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. In past meetings, SBV Excelsior W won 1, Heerenveen W won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jan 25, 2026 ended 2:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for SBV Excelsior W and 2.13 for Heerenveen W. This points to a Heerenveen W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
SBV Excelsior W
39%
Draws
30%
Heerenveen W
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Heerenveen W has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to SBV Excelsior W.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Eredivisie Women 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
SBV Excelsior W Clean Sheet 10%
Heerenveen W Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SBV Excelsior W Heerenveen W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 9
Draws 3 2
Losses 20 18
Goals Scored 0.75 1.88
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Eredivisie Women
SBV Excelsior W vs Heerenveen W
2:4
Sep 28, 2025 Eredivisie Women
Heerenveen W vs SBV Excelsior W
1:3
Feb 1, 2025 Eredivisie Women
Heerenveen W vs SBV Excelsior W
5:1
Oct 6, 2024 Eredivisie Women
SBV Excelsior W vs Heerenveen W
1:1
Sep 8, 2024 Club Friendly Women
Heerenveen W vs SBV Excelsior W
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SBV Excelsior W Compare

Top Goalscorer Verheijen J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Westerink M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Heerenveen W Compare

Top Goalscorer Venema L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Maass E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SBV Excelsior W 30 / 100
Heerenveen W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SBV Excelsior W Heerenveen W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SCH Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SBV Excelsior W scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Heerenveen W let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

SBV Excelsior W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Heerenveen W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SBV Excelsior W VS Heerenveen W
0.75 Goals Scored 1.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1PSV W22173256:1554
2Ajax W22155255:1850
3Feyenoord W22145345:1747
4Twente W22144455:1946
5Utrecht W22114741:3737
6PEC Zwolle W221111035:3234
7Heerenveen W22821238:5126
8AZ Alkmaar W22661036:4624
9Den Haag W22641224:4522
10Hera United W22551224:4220
11SBV Excelsior W22221818:518
12NAC Breda W22211917:717