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SBV Excelsior W vs PSV W Prediction & H2H Stats

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie Women 2025/2026 Stadion Woudestein, Rotterdam
SBV Excelsior W Logo

SBV Excelsior W

0 - 6
FT
PSV W Logo

PSV W

Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Xhemaili R.
Assist: Jansen R.
38' Event
Jansen R.
Assist: Kalma F.
39' Event
Jansen R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

PSV W in this Eredivisie Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored PSV W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
SBV Excelsior W
15%
Draws
85%
PSV W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: PSV W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • PSV W have won more games recently than SBV Excelsior W.
  • PSV W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and PSV W have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
SBV Excelsior W Clean Sheet 10%
PSV W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SBV Excelsior W PSV W
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 4 20
Draws 2 4
Losses 21 5
Goals Scored 1 2.03
Goals Conceded 2.26 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 3.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2026 Eredivisie Women
SBV Excelsior W vs PSV W
0:6
Sep 6, 2025 Eredivisie Women
PSV W vs SBV Excelsior W
1:0
Jan 18, 2025 Eredivisie Women
PSV W vs SBV Excelsior W
4:0
Nov 2, 2024 Eredivisie Women
SBV Excelsior W vs PSV W
0:4
May 11, 2024 Eredivisie Women
PSV W vs SBV Excelsior W
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SBV Excelsior W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

PSV W Compare

Top Goalscorer Jansen R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Xhemaili R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.78
Avg xA / game 1.7

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SBV Excelsior W 10 / 100
PSV W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SBV Excelsior W PSV W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PSV W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

SBV Excelsior W scored in 56% of their last 27 games.

PSV W has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

PSV W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SBV Excelsior W VS PSV W
0 Goals Scored 2.13
4 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

SBV Excelsior W

(Home)
18 Jul
SBV Excelsior W
0 : 4
De Graafschap W
22 May
AZ Alkmaar W
1 : 0
SBV Excelsior W
08 May
SBV Excelsior W
0 : 3
Feyenoord W
03 May
SBV Excelsior W
0 : 2
Ajax W
26 Apr
PEC Zwolle W
4 : 1
SBV Excelsior W
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PSV W

(Away)
30 Sept
Fortuna Hjorring W
0 : 0
PSV W
26 Sept
PSV W
4 : 0
De Graafschap W
23 Sept
PSV W
1 : 0
Fortuna Hjorring W
19 Sept
PSV W
0 : 4
Twente W
13 Sept
AZ Alkmaar W
3 : 1
PSV W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSV W 22 17 3 2 56:15 54
2 Ajax W 22 15 5 2 55:18 50
3 Feyenoord W 22 14 5 3 45:17 47
4 Twente W 22 14 4 4 55:19 46
5 Utrecht W 22 11 4 7 41:37 37
6 PEC Zwolle W 22 11 1 10 35:32 34
7 Heerenveen W 22 8 2 12 38:51 26
8 AZ Alkmaar W 22 6 6 10 36:46 24
9 Den Haag W 22 6 4 12 24:45 22
10 Hera United W 22 5 5 12 24:42 20
11 SBV Excelsior W 22 2 2 18 18:51 8
12 NAC Breda W 22 2 1 19 17:71 7
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (League phase)
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women (Qualification)