Sport Picks

Netherlands

Eredivisie Women 2024/2025 Stadion Woudestein

Sittard W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

SBV Excelsior W play Sittard W in the Eredivisie Women 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, SBV Excelsior W averaged 1.32 goals scored and 1.88 conceded. Sittard W averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. In past meetings, SBV Excelsior W won 0, Sittard W won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 23, 2025 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for SBV Excelsior W and 1.31 for Sittard W. This points to a Sittard W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%

SBV Excelsior W

24%

Draws

43%

Sittard W

Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Sittard W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence

SBV Excelsior W picked up more points recently compared to Sittard W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 1.31 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 78%

Over 2.5 Goals 59%

Over 3.5 Goals 35%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%

SBV Excelsior W Clean Sheet 18%

Sittard W Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 70%

Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	SBV Excelsior W	Sittard W
Matches Played	34	29
Wins	8	7
Draws	5	6
Losses	21	16
Goals Scored	1.32	1.17
Goals Conceded	1.88	1.97

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2025 Eredivisie Women

Sittard W vs SBV Excelsior W

Possession: 41% - 56% Cards: 2 - 0

0:0

Nov 23, 2024 Eredivisie Women

SBV Excelsior W vs Sittard W

Possession: 45% - 56% Cards: 2 - 0

1:1

Apr 21, 2024 Eredivisie Women

SBV Excelsior W vs Sittard W

Possession: 46% - 50% Cards: 3 - 2

2:4

Apr 17, 2024 KNVB Beker Women

SBV Excelsior W vs Sittard W

Possession: 44% - 47% Cards: 1 - 2

0:5

Oct 1, 2023 Eredivisie Women

Sittard W vs SBV Excelsior W

Possession: 57% - 51% Cards: 4 - 2

5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SBV Excelsior W Compare

Top Goalscorer Homan C.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Sittard W Compare

Top Goalscorer Prins F.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SBV Excelsior W 33 / 100

Sittard W 41 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

SBV Excelsior W Sittard W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Sittard W or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +32%

4.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.5%

1.89

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

SBV Excelsior W attacking → ← attacking Sittard W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SBV Excelsior W scored in 62% of their last 34 games.

Sittard W let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

SBV Excelsior W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Sittard W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

29 Points in last 5 27

1.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Twente W	22	18	3	1	69:19	57
2	PSV W	22	18	3	1	58:13	57
3	Ajax W	22	17	2	3	57:22	53
4	Utrecht W	22	12	4	6	39:22	40
5	Feyenoord W	22	12	2	8	55:29	38
6	AZ Alkmaar W	22	11	3	8	40:31	36
7	Den Haag W	22	5	6	11	25:43	21
8	Sittard W	22	5	5	12	20:42	20
9	Heerenveen W	22	4	3	15	24:48	15
10	PEC Zwolle W	22	3	5	14	15:44	14
11	Telstar W	22	2	5	15	22:59	11
12	SBV Excelsior W	22	1	7	14	16:68	10