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SBV Excelsior W vs VV Alkmaar W Prediction & H2H Stats

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie Women 2022/2023
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Match Events

4' Event
van der Most V.
40'
van der Heijde J.
42'
Blom R.

AI Match Summary

The Eredivisie Women 2022/2023 game between SBV Excelsior W and VV Alkmaar W finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward VV Alkmaar W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
SBV Excelsior W
20%
Draws
80%
VV Alkmaar W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: VV Alkmaar W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • SBV Excelsior W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Eredivisie Women 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
SBV Excelsior W Clean Sheet 17%
VV Alkmaar W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SBV Excelsior W VV Alkmaar W
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 6 4
Draws 5 5
Losses 22 21
Goals Scored 1.09 0.7
Goals Conceded 2.03 2.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2023 Club Friendly Women
SBV Excelsior W vs VV Alkmaar W
2:0
Jan 27, 2023 Eredivisie Women
SBV Excelsior W vs VV Alkmaar W
1:2
Sep 30, 2022 Eredivisie Women
VV Alkmaar W vs SBV Excelsior W
1:3
May 6, 2022 Eredivisie Women
VV Alkmaar W vs SBV Excelsior W
2:2
Feb 4, 2022 Eredivisie Women
SBV Excelsior W vs VV Alkmaar W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SBV Excelsior W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kleine R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

VV Alkmaar W Compare

Top Goalscorer van der Most V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Roosjen J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SBV Excelsior W 30 / 100
VV Alkmaar W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SBV Excelsior W VV Alkmaar W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SBV Excelsior W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

VV Alkmaar W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

SBV Excelsior W found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (33 games).

VV Alkmaar W's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

SBV Excelsior W VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SBV Excelsior W

(Home)
18 Jul
SBV Excelsior W
0 : 4
De Graafschap W
22 May
AZ Alkmaar W
1 : 0
SBV Excelsior W
08 May
SBV Excelsior W
0 : 3
Feyenoord W
03 May
SBV Excelsior W
0 : 2
Ajax W
26 Apr
PEC Zwolle W
4 : 1
SBV Excelsior W
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VV Alkmaar W

(Away)
18 Aug
Utrecht W
2 : 2
VV Alkmaar W
11 Aug
SBV Excelsior W
2 : 0
VV Alkmaar W
07 May
VV Alkmaar W
1 : 1
Sittard W
29 Apr
PSV W
4 : 0
VV Alkmaar W
31 Mar
VV Alkmaar W
0 : 1
PEC Zwolle W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ajax W 20 18 1 1 67:15 55
2 Twente W 20 18 0 2 81:6 54
3 Sittard W 20 11 3 6 49:27 36
4 PSV W 20 11 2 7 36:23 35
5 Den Haag W 20 10 2 8 42:21 32
6 PEC Zwolle W 20 7 5 8 26:37 26
7 Feyenoord W 20 6 6 8 18:24 24
8 Heerenveen W 20 7 1 12 24:56 22
9 VV Alkmaar W 20 3 3 14 11:55 12
10 Telstar W 20 3 3 14 18:65 12
11 SBV Excelsior W 20 2 2 16 14:57 8
Promotion - Champions League Women 2023/2024 (Qualification)