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SC Angrense vs Esperanca de Lagos

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2022/2023 game between SC Angrense and Esperanca de Lagos finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
SC Angrense
6%
Draws
90%
Esperanca de Lagos
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Esperanca de Lagos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Esperanca de Lagos carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Esperanca de Lagos taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
SC Angrense Clean Sheet 12%
Esperanca de Lagos Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Angrense Esperanca de Lagos
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 8
Draws 5 10
Losses 21 12
Goals Scored 0.5 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
SC Angrense vs Esperanca de Lagos
1:1
Dec 4, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Esperanca de Lagos vs SC Angrense
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Angrense 10 / 100
Esperanca de Lagos 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Angrense Esperanca de Lagos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ESP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Esperanca de Lagos has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Esperanca de Lagos lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: SC Angrense scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

SC Angrense VS Esperanca de Lagos
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Angrense

(Home)
21 Sept
SB Castelo Branco
7 : 1
SC Angrense
19 Apr
Serpa
4 : 2
SC Angrense
08 Apr
SC Angrense
0 : 2
Lusitano GC
02 Apr
Juv. Evora
6 : 0
SC Angrense
19 Mar
SC Angrense
1 : 1
Esperanca de Lagos
Page 1 of 6

Esperanca de Lagos

(Away)
08 Sept
Louletano
3 : 0
Esperanca de Lagos
16 Apr
Esperanca de Lagos
0 : 1
Olhanense
08 Apr
Fabril do Barreiro
3 : 0
Esperanca de Lagos
02 Apr
Esperanca de Lagos
0 : 0
CD Rabo Peixe
19 Mar
SC Angrense
1 : 1
Esperanca de Lagos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico CP26157443:2252
2Lusitano GC26156535:2251
3Juv. Evora26137637:1646
4CD Rabo Peixe26136733:1945
5Imortal26912531:2239
6Fabril do Barreiro26116931:2639
7Vasco da Gama Vidigueira26109737:3339
8Serpa261061044:3636
9Oriental Dragon261061035:3636
10SC Praiense26971031:3234
11Esperanca de Lagos26710928:3831
12SC Angrense26451717:4617
13Olhanense26521918:5017
14Ferreiras26371617:3916
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)