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Stadium Background

SC Ashdod vs Ironi Tiberias

Israel Israel

Ligat ha'Al 2025/2026 Yud-Alef Stadium, Ashdod
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Match Events

3' Event
Sambinha
23'
Balilti E.
52'
Gotlieb N.

AI Match Summary

Ironi Tiberias in this Ligat ha'Al 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ironi Tiberias.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
SC Ashdod
15%
Draws
27%
Ironi Tiberias
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SC Ashdod

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ironi Tiberias lately — more wins on the board than SC Ashdod.
  • Win probability leans SC Ashdod's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
SC Ashdod Clean Sheet 68%
Ironi Tiberias Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Ashdod Ironi Tiberias
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 4 8
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 1.21 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
SC Ashdod vs Ironi Tiberias
0:3
Apr 11, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Ironi Tiberias vs SC Ashdod
0:0
Dec 8, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
SC Ashdod vs Ironi Tiberias
1:1
Apr 6, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Ironi Tiberias vs SC Ashdod
1:2
Feb 22, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Ironi Tiberias vs SC Ashdod
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Ashdod Compare

Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Ironi Tiberias Compare

Top Goalscorer Sambinha
1 Goals
Assists Leader Baco O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Ashdod 95 / 100
Ironi Tiberias 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Ashdod Ironi Tiberias

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Ashdod Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC Ashdod has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: SC Ashdod scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Ironi Tiberias let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

SC Ashdod VS Ironi Tiberias
2.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Ashdod

(Home)
24 Sept
Ironi Modiin
1 : 3
SC Ashdod
17 Sept
SC Ashdod
3 : 2
H. Ironi Rishon
14 Sept
Hapoel Akko
0 : 4
SC Ashdod
06 Sept
SC Ashdod
4 : 0
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
31 Aug
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1 : 2
SC Ashdod
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Ironi Tiberias

(Away)
19 Sept
Maccabi Haifa
3 : 2
Ironi Tiberias
15 Sept
Ironi Tiberias
2 : 2
Hapoel Jerusalem
05 Sept
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1 : 2
Ironi Tiberias
29 Aug
Shmona
2 : 0
Ironi Tiberias
22 Aug
Ironi Tiberias
1 : 0
Hapoel Petah Tikva
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Netanya 33 14 6 13 59:63 48
8 Shmona 33 11 7 15 50:53 40
9 Ironi Tiberias 33 12 8 13 45:56 36
10 Hapoel Haifa 33 8 10 15 39:51 34
11 Sakhnin 33 8 10 15 28:49 34
12 Hapoel Jerusalem 33 7 10 16 26:43 31
13 SC Ashdod 33 6 10 17 38:62 28
14 Maccabi Bnei Raina 33 6 4 23 26:69 22
Relegation - Leumit League (Main)