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SC Ashdod vs Kiryat Gat - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

Leumit League
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SC Ashdod host Kiryat Gat in the Leumit League. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Kiryat Gat have shipped 1.21 goals a game lately, while SC Ashdod have conceded 1.57 and scored 1.29. Past meetings favor SC Ashdod slightly — 5-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 1, 2016, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.69 - 1.00) back Kiryat Gat to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

67%
SC Ashdod
15%
Draws
18%
Kiryat Gat
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SC Ashdod

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kiryat Gat come out ahead of SC Ashdod on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans SC Ashdod's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors SC Ashdod here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
SC Ashdod Clean Sheet 20%
Kiryat Gat Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Ashdod Kiryat Gat
Matches Played 28 19
Wins 9 11
Draws 4 3
Losses 15 5
Goals Scored 1.29 1.84
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 1, 2016 Leumit League
SC Ashdod vs Kiryat Gat
2:1
Sep 21, 2015 Leumit League
Kiryat Gat vs SC Ashdod
1:2
Apr 18, 2002 Ligat ha'Al
SC Ashdod vs Kiryat Gat
2:1
Jan 24, 2002 Ligat ha'Al
Kiryat Gat vs SC Ashdod
2:4
Nov 1, 2001 Ligat ha'Al
SC Ashdod vs Kiryat Gat
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Ashdod 85 / 100
Kiryat Gat 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Ashdod Kiryat Gat

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Ashdod Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kiryat Gat let in goals in 84% of their last 19 matches.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: SC Ashdod remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: SC Ashdod scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

SC Ashdod VS Kiryat Gat
2.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Ashdod

(Home)
01 Oct
SC Ashdod
1 : 0
M. Herzliya
24 Sept
Ironi Modiin
1 : 3
SC Ashdod
17 Sept
SC Ashdod
3 : 2
H. Ironi Rishon
14 Sept
Hapoel Akko
0 : 4
SC Ashdod
06 Sept
SC Ashdod
4 : 0
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
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Kiryat Gat

(Away)
01 Oct
Yehuda
2 : 1
Kiryat Gat
28 Sept
Kiryat Gat
0 : 1
MS Kafr Qasim
17 Sept
H. Raanana
0 : 1
Kiryat Gat
10 Sept
Hapoel Kfar Saba
2 : 0
Kiryat Gat
07 Sept
Kiryat Gat
1 : 1
M. Herzliya
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Ashdod 8 7 0 1 18:6 21
2 Yehuda 8 6 2 0 19:7 20
3 H. Ironi Rishon 8 5 2 1 15:9 17
4 Kiryat Yam 8 5 0 3 23:13 15
5 H. Raanana 8 5 0 3 19:11 15
6 Hapoel Afula 8 4 2 2 16:12 14
7 Hapoel Kfar Shalem 8 4 2 2 17:17 14
8 MS Kafr Qasim 8 4 1 3 12:8 13
9 Maccabi Bnei Raina 8 4 0 4 13:13 12
10 Kiryat Gat 8 2 2 4 7:9 8
11 Ironi Modiin 8 2 2 4 12:15 8
12 M. Herzliya 8 2 2 4 8:11 8
13 M. Nazareth 8 2 1 5 8:12 7
14 Maccabi Jaffa 8 2 0 6 7:17 6
15 Hapoel Kfar Saba 8 2 0 6 9:20 6
16 Hapoel Akko 8 0 0 8 0:23 0
Promotion - Leumit League (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Leumit League (Relegation Group)