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SC Ashdod vs M. Herzliya - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Leumit League
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Match Events

20' Event
Grechkin M.

AI Match Summary

The Leumit League game between SC Ashdod and M. Herzliya finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SC Ashdod.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
SC Ashdod
20%
Draws
20%
M. Herzliya
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: SC Ashdod

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • M. Herzliya carry the better recent record into this one.
  • SC Ashdod are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Leumit League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
SC Ashdod Clean Sheet 20%
M. Herzliya Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Ashdod M. Herzliya
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 10
Draws 4 8
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.29 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2026 Leumit League
SC Ashdod vs M. Herzliya
1:0
May 2, 2016 Leumit League
SC Ashdod vs M. Herzliya
3:3
Feb 19, 2016 Leumit League
M. Herzliya vs SC Ashdod
1:2
Nov 6, 2015 Leumit League
SC Ashdod vs M. Herzliya
1:1
Mar 1, 2011 State Cup
M. Herzliya vs SC Ashdod
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Ashdod Compare

Top Goalscorer Grechkin M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

M. Herzliya Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Ashdod 85 / 100
M. Herzliya 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Ashdod M. Herzliya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Ashdod Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

M. Herzliya's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Solid form: SC Ashdod remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: SC Ashdod scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

SC Ashdod VS M. Herzliya
2.25 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Ashdod

(Home)
01 Oct
SC Ashdod
1 : 0
M. Herzliya
24 Sept
Ironi Modiin
1 : 3
SC Ashdod
17 Sept
SC Ashdod
3 : 2
H. Ironi Rishon
14 Sept
Hapoel Akko
0 : 4
SC Ashdod
06 Sept
SC Ashdod
4 : 0
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
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M. Herzliya

(Away)
01 Oct
SC Ashdod
1 : 0
M. Herzliya
24 Sept
M. Herzliya
1 : 3
Kiryat Yam
17 Sept
Yehuda
1 : 1
M. Herzliya
14 Sept
M. Herzliya
1 : 0
MS Kafr Qasim
07 Sept
Kiryat Gat
1 : 1
M. Herzliya
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Ashdod 8 7 0 1 18:6 21
2 Yehuda 8 6 2 0 19:7 20
3 H. Ironi Rishon 8 5 2 1 15:9 17
4 Kiryat Yam 8 5 0 3 23:13 15
5 H. Raanana 8 5 0 3 19:11 15
6 Hapoel Afula 8 4 2 2 16:12 14
7 Hapoel Kfar Shalem 8 4 2 2 17:17 14
8 MS Kafr Qasim 8 4 1 3 12:8 13
9 Maccabi Bnei Raina 8 4 0 4 13:13 12
10 Kiryat Gat 8 2 2 4 7:9 8
11 Ironi Modiin 8 2 2 4 12:15 8
12 M. Herzliya 8 2 2 4 8:11 8
13 M. Nazareth 8 2 1 5 8:12 7
14 Maccabi Jaffa 8 2 0 6 7:17 6
15 Hapoel Kfar Saba 8 2 0 6 9:20 6
16 Hapoel Akko 8 0 0 8 0:23 0
Promotion - Leumit League (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Leumit League (Relegation Group)