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Stadium Background

SC Ashdod vs Sakhnin

Israel Israel

Toto Cup 2025 Yud-Alef Stadium, Ashdod
Sat, Aug 16, 2025
2 - 3
05:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

43'
Levi A.
46'
Sub
Mamatah E. In: Hadadi B.
Out: Mamatah E.
46'
Sub
Ben Zaken T. In: Harush S.
Out: Ben Zaken T.

AI Match Summary

Sakhnin in this Toto Cup 2025 tie, finishing 2-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
SC Ashdod
15%
Draws
42%
Sakhnin
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SC Ashdod

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Sakhnin have won more games recently than SC Ashdod.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Sakhnin arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Sakhnin, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
SC Ashdod Clean Sheet 20%
Sakhnin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Ashdod Sakhnin
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 3 6
Draws 8 6
Losses 18 17
Goals Scored 1 0.62
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Sakhnin vs SC Ashdod
1:1
Dec 20, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Sakhnin vs SC Ashdod
3:0
Aug 30, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
SC Ashdod vs Sakhnin
1:2
Aug 16, 2025 Toto Cup
SC Ashdod vs Sakhnin
2:3
Apr 26, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Sakhnin vs SC Ashdod
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Ashdod Compare

Top Goalscorer Ansah E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Sakhnin Compare

Top Goalscorer Bushnaq J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Salman A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Ashdod 32 / 100
Sakhnin 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Ashdod Sakhnin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sakhnin conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Sakhnin's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

SC Ashdod scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

SC Ashdod VS Sakhnin
0.75 Goals Scored 0.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Ashdod

(Home)
18 Aug
Hapoel Afula
2 : 0
SC Ashdod
10 Jul
SC Ashdod
1 : 3
Ironi Modiin
18 May
Shmona
2 : 3
SC Ashdod
13 May
SC Ashdod
0 : 1
Hapoel Jerusalem
10 May
Hapoel Haifa
1 : 0
SC Ashdod
Page 1 of 6

Sakhnin

(Away)
15 Aug
Sakhnin
1 : 0
Hapoel Petah Tikva
08 Aug
Sakhnin
0 : 1
Maccabi Haifa
04 Aug
Shmona
1 : 0
Sakhnin
01 Aug
Sakhnin
1 : 2
Hapoel Haifa
25 Jul
Ironi Tiberias
2 : 1
Sakhnin
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

5th place
Maccabi Tel Aviv 2
Hapoel Jerusalem 1
Maccabi Haifa 0
Maccabi Bnei Raina 2
Netanya 1
Shmona 0
Hapoel Petah Tikva 3
Ironi Tiberias 2
SC Ashdod 2
Sakhnin 3