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SC Atletico vs Paulense

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Campeonato Nacional 2012
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional 2012 game between SC Atletico and Paulense finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SC Atletico.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
SC Atletico
35%
Draws
52%
Paulense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Paulense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and SC Atletico come out ahead of Paulense on wins alone.
  • Model gives Paulense a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional 2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
SC Atletico Clean Sheet 20%
Paulense Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Atletico Paulense
Matches Played 25 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 6 11
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.28 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.08 1.15
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2012 Campeonato Nacional
SC Atletico vs Paulense
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Atletico 10 / 100
Paulense 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Atletico Paulense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paulense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

SC Atletico found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (25 games).

Paulense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: SC Atletico stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SC Atletico VS Paulense
0.67 Goals Scored 0.63
1.67 Goals Conceded 1.5
83% Over 1.5 63%
33% Over 2.5 38%
17% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Atletico

(Home)
14 Jun
SC Atletico
1 : 3
Mindelense
06 Jun
Boavista da Praia
2 : 0
SC Atletico
31 May
SC Atletico
1 : 1
Santo Crucifixo
23 May
Onze Unidos
1 : 1
SC Atletico
10 May
SC Atletico
1 : 2
SC Africa Show
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Paulense

(Away)
14 Jun
Boavista da Praia
2 : 1
Paulense
07 Jun
Paulense
2 : 2
Boavista da Praia
24 May
Botafogo
0 : 1
Paulense
18 May
Paulense
2 : 2
Sport Sal-Rei
10 May
Scorpion Vermelho
1 : 5
Paulense
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting Praia 5 3 2 0 15:3 11
2 Academica do Fogo 5 2 2 1 3:3 8
3 FC Juventude Sal 5 2 2 1 8:9 8
4 Batuque FC 5 2 2 1 6:3 8
5 Estrela dos Amadores 5 1 2 2 8:7 5
6 Associacao Academica da Brava 5 0 0 5 1:16 0
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2012 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Atletico 5 5 0 0 15:8 15
2 Academica Porto Novo 5 3 1 1 10:6 10
3 Mindelense 5 2 1 2 10:4 7
4 Paulense 5 1 2 2 6:9 5
5 Academica Boavista 5 0 2 3 9:16 2
6 Academico 83 5 0 2 3 6:13 2
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2012 (Play Offs)