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Stadium Background

SC Binningen vs Aarau

Switzerland Switzerland

Swiss Cup 2008/2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aarau in this Swiss Cup 2008/2009 tie, finishing 2-6. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
SC Binningen
20%
Draws
50%
Aarau
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aarau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aarau lately — more wins on the board than SC Binningen.
  • Win probability leans Aarau's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Aarau arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Aarau, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
SC Binningen Clean Sheet 20%
Aarau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Binningen Aarau
Matches Played 7 29
Wins 2 14
Draws 0 7
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 1.14 2
Goals Conceded 3.57 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2008 Swiss Cup
SC Binningen vs Aarau
2:6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Binningen 10 / 100
Aarau 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Binningen Aarau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aarau Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 8.00 goals as a typical output.

SC Binningen found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (7 games).

Aarau let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: SC Binningen remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

SC Binningen VS Aarau
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Binningen

(Home)
13 Aug
SC Binningen
0 : 7
Schaffhausen
17 Sept
SC Binningen
1 : 2
Bruhl SG
13 Aug
SC Binningen
2 : 1
Munsingen
18 Sept
SC Binningen
0 : 2
FC Baulmes
20 Sept
SC Binningen
2 : 6
Aarau
Page 1 of 2

Aarau

(Away)
24 Sept
Grasshoppers
4 : 1
Aarau
18 Sept
Winterthur
2 : 1
Aarau
12 Sept
Aarau
2 : 2
Kriens
04 Sept
Aarau
3 : 2
Rapperswil-Jona
31 Aug
Wil
2 : 2
Aarau
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Young Boys 6
Ibach 0
Wacker Grenchen 1
Alle 3
Seefeld 1
Winterthur 0
Thalwil 1
Gossau 3
Bellinzona 5
Oerlikon/Polizei Zurich 1
FC Allmendingen 0
Zofingen 2
Wohlen 2
Sursee 0
Bruhl SG 0
Grasshoppers 5
Zurich 6
FC Widnau 0
FC Amriswil 2
Schaffhausen 3
Hongg 2
FC Bassersdorf 0
GC Biaschesi 0
Wil 1
Thun 5
FC Windisch 1
FC Baulmes 1
Bavois 3
Bulle 2
FC Tavannes/Tramelan 0
Schotz 0
Basel 1
Luzern 3
FC Plaffeien 0
Biel 2
Grenchen 3
Yverdon 7
Le Locle 0
FC Plan-les-Ouates 0
La Chaux-De-Fonds 3
Xamax 2
FC Saxon-Sports 0
Lancy 0
Lausanne 3
Servette 6
La Sarraz-Eclepens 1
Liestal 0
Concordia 3
St. Gallen 2
FC Bazenheid 0
SC Binningen 2
Aarau 6
Lugano 5
Vallemaggia 0
FC Kreuzlingen 1
Locarno 3
Malley 3
Chenois 1
Racing Club GE 1
Echallens 2
Le Mont 2
Stade Nyonnais 0
Etoile-Carouge 0
Sion 5
1/16-finals
Young Boys 5
Alle 0
Seefeld 1
Gossau 3
Bellinzona 3
Zofingen 2
Wohlen 2
Grasshoppers 3
Zurich 1
Schaffhausen 0
Hongg 0
Wil 3
Thun 1
Bavois 0
Bulle 1
Basel 4
Luzern 3
Grenchen 0
Yverdon 1
La Chaux-De-Fonds 2
Xamax 2
Lausanne 1
Servette 1
Concordia 3
St. Gallen 2
Aarau 0
Lugano 1
Locarno 3
Malley 3
Echallens 2
Le Mont 2
Sion 5
1/8-finals
Young Boys 1
Gossau 0
Bellinzona 1
Grasshoppers 2
Zurich 1
Wil 0
Thun 0
Basel 4
Luzern 4
La Chaux-De-Fonds 0
Xamax 0
Concordia 4
St. Gallen 2
Locarno 0
Malley 0
Sion 1
Quarter-finals
Young Boys 3
Grasshoppers 0
Zurich 0
Basel 1
Luzern 2
Concordia 0
St. Gallen 1
Sion 2
Semi-finals
Young Boys 1
Basel 0
Luzern 1
Sion 2
Final
Young Boys 2
Sion 3