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SC Delhi vs Mohun Bagan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

India India

ISL Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium, New Delhi
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SC Delhi host Mohun Bagan in the ISL. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: SC Delhi at 1.68 goals for, 1.41 against; Mohun Bagan at 1.86 for, 0.64 against. Past meetings favor Mohun Bagan slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 21, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.81 vs 1.75, favoring Mohun Bagan. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
SC Delhi
15%
Draws
39%
Mohun Bagan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SC Delhi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mohun Bagan come out ahead of SC Delhi on wins alone.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on SC Delhi taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
SC Delhi Clean Sheet 12%
Mohun Bagan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Delhi Mohun Bagan
Matches Played 22 36
Wins 6 23
Draws 6 10
Losses 10 3
Goals Scored 1.68 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.41 0.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2026 ISL
Mohun Bagan vs SC Delhi
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Delhi 83 / 100
Mohun Bagan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Delhi Mohun Bagan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Delhi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC Delhi scored in 64% of their last 22 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: SC Delhi stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Mohun Bagan let in goals in 46% of their last 35 matches.

Scoring Trends

SC Delhi VS Mohun Bagan
2.75 Goals Scored 2.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Delhi

(Home)
19 Aug
SC Delhi
0 : 1
East Bengal
16 Aug
SC Delhi
5 : 1
Raengdai
10 Aug
SC Delhi
7 : 1
Indian Air Force (New Delhi)
07 Aug
SC Delhi
7 : 0
Defenders FC
04 Aug
Jamshedpur
1 : 2
SC Delhi
Page 1 of 5

Mohun Bagan

(Away)
08 Oct
Mohun Bagan
1 : 0
East Bengal
04 Oct
Mohun Bagan
1 : 0
Minerva Punjab
29 Sept
Mohun Bagan
1 : 1
North East United
23 Sept
Mohun Bagan
6 : 0
Sreenidi Deccan
23 Aug
East Bengal
4 : 1
Mohun Bagan
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Churchill Brothers 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 East Bengal 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Mohun Bagan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Bengaluru FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Chennaiyin FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Odisha FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 FC Goa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Kerala Blasters 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Mumbai City 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 North East United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Minerva Punjab 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Inter Kashi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 SC Delhi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - ISL (Play Offs)
Promotion - ISL (Play Offs)