Sport Picks

Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2009

Sporting Praia

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

SC do Porto Novo play Sporting Praia in the Campeonato Nacional 2009. It looks like a close match. Recently, SC do Porto Novo averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. Sporting Praia averaged 1.42 goals scored and 0.77 conceded. In past meetings, SC do Porto Novo won 0, Sporting Praia won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 30, 2009 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.85 for SC do Porto Novo and 1.11 for Sporting Praia. This points to a Sporting Praia double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

SC do Porto Novo

25%

Draws

45%

Sporting Praia

Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Sporting Praia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

SC do Porto Novo picked up more points recently compared to Sporting Praia.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.85 vs 1.11 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 46%

Over 3.5 Goals 28%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%

SC do Porto Novo Clean Sheet 21%

Sporting Praia Clean Sheet 17%

First Half Goal 62%

Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	SC do Porto Novo	Sporting Praia
Matches Played	7	31
Wins	3	18
Draws	1	8
Losses	3	5
Goals Scored	1.43	1.42
Goals Conceded	1.43	0.77

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2009 Campeonato Nacional

SC do Porto Novo vs Sporting Praia

Possession: 53% - 57% Cards: 2 - 1

0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC do Porto Novo 31 / 100

Sporting Praia 44 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

SC do Porto Novo Sporting Praia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Sporting Praia or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +36.5%

4.55

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15%

2.50

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

SC do Porto Novo attacking → ← attacking Sporting Praia

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC do Porto Novo scored in 71% of their last 7 games.

Sporting Praia let in goals in 48% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

SC do Porto Novo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Sporting Praia lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

10 Points in last 5 62

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Academica Praia	5	4	1	0	10:5	13
2	Mindelense	5	4	0	1	13:4	12
3	Ultramarina	5	2	1	2	11:6	7
4	Onze Unidos	5	2	1	2	5:5	7
5	Santa Maria	5	0	2	3	6:13	2
6	Foguetoes	5	0	1	4	3:15	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sporting Praia	5	4	1	0	11:1	13
2	SC do Porto Novo	5	3	0	2	9:6	9
3	Vulcanico	5	2	1	2	3:4	7
4	Morabeza	5	2	1	2	4:8	7
5	Estrela dos Amadores	5	2	0	3	7:8	6
6	Academica Boavista	5	0	1	4	2:9	1