Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
This match ends 0-3, with Mondercange advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
15%
52%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mondercange
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Mondercange carry the better recent record into this one.
- 33% — that's where the model lands on SC Ell taking it.
- Mondercange arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Mondercange, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
SC Ell Clean Sheet 10%
Mondercange Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | SC Ell | Mondercange |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 4 | 31 |
| Wins | 1 | 7 |
| Draws | 0 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.5 | 2.58 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 2.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 22, 2019 Luxembourg Cup
SC Ell vs Mondercange
0:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
SC Ell 74 / 100
Mondercange 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
SC Ell Mondercange
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SC Ell Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mondercange has conceded goals in 87% of their last 31 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Difficult form: Mondercange registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
SC Ell scored in 50% of their last 4 games.
Scoring Trends
SC Ell VS Mondercange
1 Goals Scored 0.63
4 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
SC Ell
(Home) 18 Sept
SC Ell
1 : 4 Jeunesse Canach
22 Sept
SC Ell
0 : 3 Mondercange
16 Sept
CS Bourscheid
2 : 0 SC Ell
02 Sept
SC Ell
5 : 1 Sporting Beckerich
18 Sept
SC Ell
1 : 4 Jeunesse Canach
22 Sept
SC Ell
0 : 3 Mondercange
02 Sept
SC Ell
5 : 1 Sporting Beckerich
Mondercange
(Away) 20 Sept
US Folschette
1 : 4 Mondercange
09 Nov
Mondercange
2 : 3 Victoria Rosport
21 Sept
FF Norden
1 : 4 Mondercange
28 Jul
Mondercange
0 : 6 FC Mamer
19 Jul
Mondercange
0 : 3 Kaerjeng
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
US Folschette
1 : 4 Mondercange
21 Sept
FF Norden
1 : 4 Mondercange
13 Jul
Jeunesse Esch
6 : 0 Mondercange
25 May
Progres Niedercorn
7 : 2 Mondercange
11 May
Dudelange
2 : 3 Mondercange
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Luxembourg City 7
FC Residence Walferdange 0
The Belval Belvaux 0
Hesperange 6
Jeunesse Canach 6
Lintgen 0
Avenir Beggen 0
Ettelbruck 1
Esch 4
Harlange/Tarchamps 2
Koeppchen 1
Kaerjeng 4
Blo Weiss Itzig 5
Rupensia Lusitanos Larochette 2
Schifflange 1
Differdange 5
Wiltz 3
Berdenia Berbourg 2
FC Munsbach 3
Blue Boys Muhlenbach 6
Jeunesse Junglinster 5
Pratzerthal/Redange 1
FC Noertzange HF 0
Jeunesse Esch 4
Mertert/Wasserbillig 2
Jeunesse Schieren 1
Echternach 1
Dudelange 6
FC Rodange 91 3
Gasperich 0
Red Star Merl/Belair 0
Mondorf 4
Kehlen 2
CS Sanem 1
US Sandweiler 0
FC Mamer 4
Lorentzweiler 3
US Berdorf Consdorf 2
Union Remich/Bous 0
Progres Niedercorn 2
Bettembourg 3
Union Tetange 2
FC Schengen 4
Blo Weiss Medernach 5
Steinfort 2
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 1
Miniere Lasauvage 2
Victoria Rosport 6
Mondercange 3
SC Ell 0
FF Norden 0
Alisontia Steinsel 4
Union Titus Petange 7
Vinesca Ehnen 0
Grevenmacher 1
Fola 2
Racing Luxembourg 7
AS Luxembourg/Porto 0
FC Red Black/Egalite 07 1
Hostert 4
Rumelange 6
FC 47 Bastendorf 1
Red Boys Aspelt 1
UNA Strassen 3
1/16-finals
Luxembourg City 1
Hesperange 2
Jeunesse Canach 2
Ettelbruck 0
Esch 4
Kaerjeng 0
Blo Weiss Itzig 2
Differdange 4
Wiltz 2
Blue Boys Muhlenbach 0
Jeunesse Junglinster 1
Jeunesse Esch 2
Mertert/Wasserbillig 0
Dudelange 2
FC Rodange 91 1
Mondorf 3
Kehlen 1
FC Mamer 0
Lorentzweiler 0
Progres Niedercorn 5
Bettembourg 6
Blo Weiss Medernach 0
Steinfort 0
Victoria Rosport 2
Mondercange 4
Alisontia Steinsel 0
Union Titus Petange 1
Fola 2
Racing Luxembourg 5
Hostert 1
Rumelange 0
UNA Strassen 4
1/8-finals
Hesperange 5
Jeunesse Canach 0
Esch 0
Differdange 1
Wiltz 3
Jeunesse Esch 0
Dudelange 4
Mondorf 1
Kehlen 0
Progres Niedercorn 3
Bettembourg 0
Victoria Rosport 3
Mondercange 2
Fola 1
Racing Luxembourg 5
UNA Strassen 1
Quarter-finals
Hesperange -
Differdange -
Wiltz -
Dudelange -
Progres Niedercorn -
Victoria Rosport -
Mondercange -
Racing Luxembourg -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
