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SC Espinho vs Agueda

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2020/2021
SC Espinho Logo

SC Espinho

1 - 0
FT
Agueda Logo

Agueda

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2020/2021 game between SC Espinho and Agueda finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SC Espinho.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
SC Espinho
15%
Draws
8%
Agueda
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SC Espinho

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and SC Espinho come out ahead of Agueda on wins alone.
  • 77% — that's where the model lands on SC Espinho taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
SC Espinho Clean Sheet 68%
Agueda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Espinho Agueda
Matches Played 32 24
Wins 15 4
Draws 7 5
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.19 0.79
Goals Conceded 0.69 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
SC Espinho vs Agueda
1:0
Oct 23, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Agueda vs SC Espinho
1:0
Jan 20, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
SC Espinho vs Agueda
2:1
Aug 12, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Agueda vs SC Espinho
0:0
Apr 8, 1984 Liga Portugal
Agueda vs SC Espinho
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Espinho 95 / 100
Agueda 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Espinho Agueda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Espinho Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Agueda let in goals in 79% of their last 24 matches.

SC Espinho went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Agueda lost 4 of their last 5 games.

SC Espinho's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

SC Espinho VS Agueda
1.88 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Espinho

(Home)
30 Aug
Cinfaes
1 : 0
SC Espinho
18 Oct
SC Espinho
0 : 1
Santa Clara
21 Sept
SC Espinho
5 : 1
Almodovar
31 Aug
Florgrade
0 : 1
SC Espinho
08 May
Santa Cruz Alvarenga
1 : 2
SC Espinho
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Agueda

(Away)
01 Oct
Agueda
0 : 1
Pevidem
10 Apr
Sanjoanense
1 : 0
Agueda
03 Apr
Agueda
0 : 1
Sao Joao de Ver
21 Mar
Agueda
0 : 2
Castro Daire
12 Mar
Agueda
0 : 0
Canelas 2010
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Anadia 22 13 5 4 39:15 44
2 Canelas 2010 22 12 5 5 28:13 41
3 Lusitania FC 22 11 6 5 38:26 39
4 Sao Joao de Ver 22 10 8 4 30:14 38
5 Sanjoanense 22 8 12 2 26:13 36
6 Castro Daire 22 10 5 7 23:24 35
7 Valadares Gaia FC 22 10 3 9 36:27 33
8 SC Espinho 22 9 4 9 33:22 31
9 Beira Mar 22 9 4 9 30:23 31
10 Agueda 22 4 5 13 17:28 17
11 Lusitano FCV 22 4 4 14 17:34 16
12 Vila Cortez 22 1 1 20 8:86 4
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Qualification)