Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SC Espinho vs Caldas SC

Portugal Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2021/2022
Sat, Oct 16, 2021
0 - 1
02:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Silva J. In: Valencia Y. M.
Out: Silva J.
65'
Farinha L.
65'
Sub
Marques M. In: Perre A.
Out: Marques M.

AI Match Summary

Caldas SC in this Taça de Portugal 2021/2022 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
SC Espinho
15%
Draws
26%
Caldas SC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SC Espinho

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Caldas SC haven't matched SC Espinho's recent run of results.
  • Model gives SC Espinho a 59% chance of winning this.
  • SC Espinho have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Caldas SC, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
SC Espinho Clean Sheet 68%
Caldas SC Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Espinho Caldas SC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 10
Draws 7 4
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 1.23 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.7 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 16, 2021 Taça de Portugal
SC Espinho vs Caldas SC
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Espinho Compare

Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Caldas SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodrigues J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Espinho 95 / 100
Caldas SC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Espinho Caldas SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Espinho Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC Espinho found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Caldas SC let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: SC Espinho remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Caldas SC's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

SC Espinho VS Caldas SC
0 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Espinho

(Home)
30 Aug
Cinfaes
1 : 0
SC Espinho
18 Oct
SC Espinho
0 : 1
Santa Clara
21 Sept
SC Espinho
5 : 1
Almodovar
31 Aug
Florgrade
0 : 1
SC Espinho
08 May
Santa Cruz Alvarenga
1 : 2
SC Espinho
Page 1 of 6

Caldas SC

(Away)
04 Sept
Santarem
0 : 1
Caldas SC
30 Aug
Caldas SC
1 : 3
Sintrense
23 Aug
Caldas SC
2 : 4
Louletano
16 Aug
Caldas SC
0 : 0
Lusitano GC
08 Aug
CF Os Belenenses
1 : 0
Caldas SC
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
SC Pombal -
TBD -
Leca 1
Lusitania FC 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arouca -
Condeixa -
TBD -
TBD -
Esperanca de Lagos -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gil Vicente -
Estrela Vendas Novas -
TBD -
Pedroso 0
Paredes 2
Ferreira de Aves -
TBD -
TBD -
Academico Viseu -
GD Fontinhas -
TBD -
TBD -
Torreense -
O Elvas CAD 0
Sacavenense 2
SC Mirandela 0
AD Fafe 1
SC Praiense 0
Sporting Ideal 1
TBD -
Valadares Gaia FC -
Canelas 2010 12
Regua 0
TBD -
Casa Pia -
Rebordelo -
TBD -
Moimenta da Beira 2
Cinfaes 3
Sao Roque -
TBD -
TBD -
SC Farense -
CF Os Belenenses -
TBD -
TBD -
Pero Pinheiro -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sporting CP -
Oleiros -
TBD -
TBD -
Varzim -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maritimo -
SC Vianense 2
Ancora Praia 1
TBD -
Vitoria Setubal -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vizela -
Culatrense 1
Louletano 2
Gondomar 2
SC Salgueiros 3
Ferreiras 1
Penedo Gordo 0
TBD -
Estrela da Amadora -
Moitense -
TBD -
Anca 1
Sanjoanense 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Braga -
Moncarapachense 1
Industria 2
TBD -
Leiria -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Santa Clara -
Gloria Ribatejo 0
Sintrense 4
Macedo de Cavaleiros 1
Forjaes 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Porto -
Vila Mea 4
Amarante FC 3
TBD -
Feirense -
Vinhais -
TBD -
TBD -
Nacional -
Pevidem -
TBD -
TBD -
Trofense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Benfica -
Estarreja 1
Aguias do Moradal 2
Damaiense 3
SC Lusitania 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pacos Ferreira -
Vila Velha 0
Vitoria Sernache 3
TBD -
Rio Ave -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Boavista -
CD Rabo Peixe -
TBD -
Castro Daire 1
Trancoso 0
Olhanense 1
Juv. Evora 0
Santa Cruz Alvarenga 3
CD Gouveia 1
Uniao Lamas 1
SC Espinho 2
Valenciano 2
Merelinense 4
Abrantes Benfica 2
Caldas SC 4
Pinhalnovense 0
Amora 2
AD Limianos 3
CDC Montalegre 2
Berco 2
GD Joane 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
BSAD -
Santa Marta Penaguiao 0
Camacha 3
TBD -
Ribeirao -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tondela -
Sao Joao de Ver -
TBD -
TBD -
Leixoes -
Uniao Montemor -
TBD -
TBD -
Vilaverdense FC -
Serpa -
TBD -
TBD -
Olivais e Moscavide -
Marinhense 1
UC Idanhense 2
TBD -
Covilha -
FC Felgueiras 3
Camara de Lobos 0
TBD -
Chaves -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Estoril -
Alverca 6
Electrico FC 0
SC Vila Real 2
Tirsense 1
Anadia -
TBD -
TBD -
GD Coruchense -
FC Alpendorada -
TBD -
TBD -
Academica -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Famalicao -
Machico 0
Sao Martinho 5
SB Castelo Branco 1
Mata Mourisquense 0
Cerva 1
Maria de Fonte 3
TBD -
Penafiel -
Oliveirense 6
Guarda Desportiva 0
Arronches Benfica 4
Vasco da Gama P. Delgada 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Portimonense -
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 1
Imortal 2
TBD -
Vilafranquense -
Real SC 1
FC Barreirense 0
TBD -
Cova De Piedade -
Sertanense 2
GD Peniche 0
TBD -
Mafra -
Vigor Mocidade 0
Uniao de Coimbra 1
TBD -
Graciosa FC -
Santarem 0
GS Loures 1
Lusitano GC 1
Oriental Dragon 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Moreirense -
Oliveira Hospital -
TBD -
TBD -
U. Madeira -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
1/64-finals
SC Pombal 0
Leca 4
TBD -
Arouca -
Condeixa 4
Esperanca de Lagos 3
TBD -
Gil Vicente -
Estrela Vendas Novas 0
Paredes 2
Ferreira de Aves 0
Academico Viseu 1
GD Fontinhas 0
Torreense 1
Sacavenense 0
AD Fafe 4
Sporting Ideal 0
Valadares Gaia FC 3
Canelas 2010 2
Casa Pia 4
Rebordelo 1
Cinfaes 2
Sao Roque 0
SC Farense 3
CF Os Belenenses 5
Pero Pinheiro 3
TBD -
Sporting CP -
Oleiros 0
Varzim 2
TBD -
Maritimo -
SC Vianense 0
Vitoria Setubal 2
TBD -
Vizela -
Louletano 3
SC Salgueiros 1
Ferreiras 0
Estrela da Amadora 3
Moitense 2
Anca 1
TBD -
Braga -
Industria 1
Leiria 2
TBD -
Santa Clara -
Sintrense 2
Macedo de Cavaleiros 1
TBD -
FC Porto -
Vila Mea 1
Feirense 5
Vinhais 0
Nacional 3
Pevidem 1
Trofense 3
TBD -
Benfica -
Aguias do Moradal 2
Damaiense 1
TBD -
Pacos Ferreira -
Vitoria Sernache 1
Rio Ave 3
TBD -
Boavista -
CD Rabo Peixe 2
Castro Daire 3
Olhanense 1
Santa Cruz Alvarenga 0
SC Espinho 1
Merelinense 0
Caldas SC 1
Amora 0
AD Limianos 0
Berco 1
TBD -
BSAD -
Camacha 6
Ribeirao 1
TBD -
Tondela -
Sao Joao de Ver 1
Leixoes 3
Uniao Montemor 0
Vilaverdense FC 2
Serpa 4
Olivais e Moscavide 0
UC Idanhense 0
Covilha 2
FC Felgueiras 2
Chaves 0
TBD -
Estoril -
Alverca 3
SC Vila Real 1
Anadia 3
GD Coruchense 1
FC Alpendorada 1
Academica 2
TBD -
Famalicao -
Sao Martinho 0
SB Castelo Branco 1
Maria de Fonte 0
Penafiel 1
Oliveirense 3
Arronches Benfica 0
TBD -
Portimonense -
Imortal 0
Vilafranquense 2
Real SC 2
Cova De Piedade 1
Sertanense 0
Mafra 1
Uniao de Coimbra 2
Graciosa FC 1
GS Loures 2
Oriental Dragon 3
TBD -
Moreirense -
Oliveira Hospital 5
U. Madeira 0
TBD -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
1/32-finals
Leca 2
Arouca 1
Condeixa 0
Gil Vicente 5
Paredes 3
Academico Viseu 1
Torreense 2
AD Fafe 1
Valadares Gaia FC 1
Casa Pia 3
Cinfaes 0
SC Farense 4
CF Os Belenenses 0
Sporting CP 4
Varzim 3
Maritimo 2
Vitoria Setubal 0
Vizela 2
Louletano 1
Estrela da Amadora 2
Moitense 0
Braga 5
Leiria 0
Santa Clara 2
Sintrense 0
FC Porto 5
Feirense 3
Nacional 1
Trofense 1
Benfica 2
Aguias do Moradal 0
Pacos Ferreira 3
Rio Ave 4
Boavista 0
Castro Daire 2
Olhanense 3
SC Espinho 0
Caldas SC 1
Berco 1
BSAD 2
Camacha 1
Tondela 2
Leixoes 5
Vilaverdense FC 1
Serpa 1
Covilha 0
FC Felgueiras 0
Estoril 1
Alverca 4
Anadia 1
Academica 0
Famalicao 4
SB Castelo Branco 1
Penafiel 2
Oliveirense 3
Portimonense 4
Vilafranquense 3
Real SC 2
Mafra 3
Uniao de Coimbra 0
Oriental Dragon 2
Moreirense 3
Oliveira Hospital 0
Vitoria Guimaraes 1
1/16-finals
Leca 1
Gil Vicente 0
Paredes 1
Torreense 0
Casa Pia 3
SC Farense 1
Sporting CP 2
Varzim 1
Vizela 2
Estrela da Amadora 0
Braga 6
Santa Clara 0
FC Porto 5
Feirense 1
Benfica 4
Pacos Ferreira 1
Rio Ave 2
Olhanense 1
Caldas SC 3
BSAD 5
Tondela 3
Leixoes 1
Serpa 0
Estoril 5
Alverca 1
Famalicao 2
Penafiel 0
Portimonense 3
Vilafranquense 0
Mafra 1
Moreirense 3
Vitoria Guimaraes 2
1/8-finals
Leca 2
Paredes 1
Casa Pia 1
Sporting CP 2
Vizela 1
Braga 0
FC Porto 3
Benfica 0
Rio Ave 2
BSAD 1
Tondela 3
Estoril 1
Famalicao 1
Portimonense 2
Mafra 3
Moreirense 1
Quarter-finals
Leca 0
Sporting CP 4
Vizela 1
FC Porto 3
Rio Ave 0
Tondela 1
Portimonense 2
Mafra 4
Semi-finals
Sporting CP 1
FC Porto 3
Tondela 4
Mafra 1
Final
FC Porto 3
Tondela 1