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SC Espinho vs Esmoriz

Portugal Portugal

Second Division - Zona Centro 2010/2011
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AI Match Summary

The Second Division - Zona Centro 2010/2011 game between SC Espinho and Esmoriz finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SC Espinho.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
SC Espinho
15%
Draws
34%
Esmoriz
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SC Espinho

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and SC Espinho come out ahead of Esmoriz on wins alone.
  • SC Espinho are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
SC Espinho Clean Sheet 20%
Esmoriz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Espinho Esmoriz
Matches Played 37 31
Wins 18 10
Draws 10 11
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.38 1.23
Goals Conceded 0.7 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2011 Second Division - Zona Centro
SC Espinho vs Esmoriz
2:0
Nov 28, 2010 Second Division - Zona Centro
Esmoriz vs SC Espinho
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Espinho 49 / 100
Esmoriz 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Espinho Esmoriz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Espinho Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Esmoriz conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

Attacking prowess: SC Espinho scored in 68% of their last 37 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: SC Espinho remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

SC Espinho VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Espinho

(Home)
30 Aug
Cinfaes
1 : 0
SC Espinho
18 Oct
SC Espinho
0 : 1
Santa Clara
21 Sept
SC Espinho
5 : 1
Almodovar
31 Aug
Florgrade
0 : 1
SC Espinho
08 May
Santa Cruz Alvarenga
1 : 2
SC Espinho
Page 1 of 8

Esmoriz

(Away)
24 Sept
Esmoriz
0 : 1
Vilaverdense FC
03 Sept
Tocha
1 : 2
Esmoriz
30 Apr
SC Pombal
1 : 0
Esmoriz
23 Apr
Esmoriz
0 : 1
Boavista
17 Apr
Anadia
0 : 1
Esmoriz
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Padroense 30 16 8 6 44:29 56
2 Boavista 30 16 8 6 46:25 56
3 Tondela 30 16 7 7 46:28 55
4 Gondomar 30 13 11 6 42:26 50
5 Sertanense 30 14 7 9 29:25 49
6 GD Tourizense 30 13 6 11 48:32 45
7 SC Espinho 30 11 10 9 33:26 43
8 Coimbroes 30 11 7 12 38:40 40
9 Esmoriz 30 9 11 10 31:38 38
10 Anadia 30 10 7 13 32:40 37
11 Aliados Lordelo 30 9 10 11 28:34 37
12 SC Pombal 30 10 6 14 35:48 36
13 FC Pampilhosa 30 10 6 14 31:39 36
14 Uniao Da Serra 30 8 10 12 33:36 34
15 FC Cesarense 30 7 9 14 33:46 30
16 Electrico FC 30 2 7 21 19:56 13
Promotion - Second Division - Zona Centro 2010/2011 (Main)