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SC Farense U19 vs Leiria U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SC Farense U19 host Leiria U19 in the Campeonato Nacional U19. Little to choose between these two on current form. SC Farense U19 have averaged 1.07 scored and 1.46 conceded recently, against Leiria U19's 1.5 scored and 1.77 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.69, favoring Leiria U19. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
SC Farense U19
20%
Draws
32%
Leiria U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: SC Farense U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • SC Farense U19 haven't matched Leiria U19's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional U19 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
SC Farense U19 Clean Sheet 13%
Leiria U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Farense U19 Leiria U19
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 7 8
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.07 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Farense U19 30 / 100
Leiria U19 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Farense U19 Leiria U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Farense U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leiria U19 let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: SC Farense U19 scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Away concern: Leiria U19 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Recent resilience: SC Farense U19 stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SC Farense U19 VS Leiria U19
0.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Farense U19

(Home)
03 Oct
Santa Clara U19
2 : 1
SC Farense U19
19 Sept
SC Farense U19
0 : 1
Sporting CP U19
12 Sept
Benfica U19
5 : 1
SC Farense U19
05 Sept
SC Farense U19
1 : 2
Mafra U19
15 Aug
Alverca U19
2 : 3
SC Farense U19
Page 1 of 6

Leiria U19

(Away)
19 Sept
Torreense U19
3 : 1
Leiria U19
12 Sept
Leiria U19
2 : 2
Oriental U19
05 Sept
Leiria U19
1 : 2
Santa Clara U19
29 Aug
Benfica U19
5 : 0
Leiria U19
23 Aug
Casa Pia U19
0 : 0
Leiria U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Porto U19 7 5 1 1 17:6 16
2 Gil Vicente U19 6 3 2 1 5:2 11
3 Braga U19 7 3 1 3 9:9 10
4 Vitoria Guimaraes U19 7 3 1 3 7:9 10
5 Feirense U19 6 3 1 2 5:5 10
6 Rio Ave U19 6 2 2 2 5:4 8
7 Famalicao U19 7 2 2 3 8:11 8
8 Academico Viseu U19 6 2 1 3 9:6 7
9 Moreirense U19 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
10 Vizela U19 6 1 0 5 6:17 3
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting CP U19 7 5 2 0 12:4 17
2 Benfica U19 6 4 2 0 16:5 14
3 Oriental U19 6 3 2 1 7:5 11
4 Santa Clara U19 6 3 1 2 13:7 10
5 Mafra U19 7 2 3 2 7:13 9
6 Torreense U19 6 2 1 3 9:9 7
7 Casa Pia U19 6 1 2 3 5:7 5
8 SC Farense U19 6 1 1 4 6:12 4
9 Alverca U19 6 0 3 3 7:12 3
10 Leiria U19 6 0 3 3 5:13 3
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Relegation Group)