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SC Farense U23 vs Leiria U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Liga Next Gen U23
Tue, Oct 13, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SC Farense U23 host Leiria U23 in the Liga Next Gen U23. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Leiria U23 have shipped 1.58 goals a game lately, while SC Farense U23 have conceded 1.1 and scored 1.45. Head-to-head, SC Farense U23 have won 2 to Leiria U23's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 24, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.38 - 1.31) back SC Farense U23 to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
SC Farense U23
20%
Draws
29%
Leiria U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: SC Farense U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and SC Farense U23 come out ahead of Leiria U23 on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Liga Next Gen U23 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
SC Farense U23 Clean Sheet 18%
Leiria U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Farense U23 Leiria U23
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 15 7
Draws 6 7
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 1.45 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2026 Liga Next Gen U23
Leiria U23 vs SC Farense U23
0:0
Feb 24, 2026 Liga Next Gen U23
SC Farense U23 vs Leiria U23
1:0
Dec 15, 2025 Liga Next Gen U23
Leiria U23 vs SC Farense U23
0:1
Sep 30, 2025 Liga Next Gen U23
SC Farense U23 vs Leiria U23
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Farense U23 31 / 100
Leiria U23 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Farense U23 Leiria U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Farense U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leiria U23 has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.

SC Farense U23's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

SC Farense U23 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Leiria U23 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SC Farense U23 VS Leiria U23
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Farense U23

(Home)
21 Sept
Vizela U23
2 : 0
SC Farense U23
15 Sept
SC Farense U23
1 : 1
Leixoes U23
09 Sept
Santa Clara U23
1 : 0
SC Farense U23
01 Sept
SC Farense U23
4 : 3
Famalicao U23
25 Aug
Portimonense U23
1 : 2
SC Farense U23
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Leiria U23

(Away)
06 Oct
Leiria U23
1 : 1
Santa Clara U23
21 Sept
Leiria U23
0 : 1
Gil Vicente U23
14 Sept
Leiria U23
1 : 2
Benfica U23
08 Sept
Estrela da Amadora U23
2 : 0
Leiria U23
01 Sept
Leiria U23
2 : 0
Maritimo U23
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Estoril U23 8 4 4 0 17:12 16
2 Sporting CP U23 8 4 3 1 15:10 15
3 Academico Viseu U23 7 4 2 1 14:10 14
4 Rio Ave U23 7 3 3 1 8:5 12
5 FC Felgueiras U23 7 3 2 2 12:9 11
6 SC Farense U23 7 3 2 2 11:11 11
7 Braga U23 7 2 4 1 11:9 10
8 Vizela U23 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
9 Benfica U23 7 3 1 3 10:9 10
10 Santa Clara U23 5 2 3 0 5:3 9
11 Gil Vicente U23 7 2 2 3 9:10 8
12 Moreirense U23 7 1 5 1 10:9 8
13 Famalicao U23 7 2 2 3 13:15 8
14 Leiria U23 7 2 2 3 7:8 8
15 Leixoes U23 7 1 3 3 12:12 6
16 Torreense U23 6 1 3 2 9:12 6
17 Penafiel U23 7 0 5 2 9:11 5
18 Estrela da Amadora U23 7 1 2 4 6:13 5
19 Portimonense U23 7 0 4 3 4:9 4
20 Maritimo U23 7 0 3 4 5:12 3
Promotion - Liga Next Gen U23 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga Next Gen U23 (Losers stage)