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SC Farense vs CF Os Belenenses

Portugal Portugal

Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 Estádio de São Luís
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Morgado T.
21'
Lucas J.
30' Event
Candeias A.
Assist: Menino M.

AI Match Summary

SC Farense in this Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored SC Farense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
SC Farense
39%
Draws
31%
CF Os Belenenses
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CF Os Belenenses lately — more wins on the board than SC Farense.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
SC Farense Clean Sheet 68%
CF Os Belenenses Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Farense CF Os Belenenses
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 16
Draws 8 7
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
CF Os Belenenses vs SC Farense
0:0
May 23, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
SC Farense vs CF Os Belenenses
1:0
Jul 26, 2025 Club Friendly
SC Farense vs CF Os Belenenses
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Farense Compare

Top Goalscorer Candeias A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

CF Os Belenenses Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Farense 41 / 100
CF Os Belenenses 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Farense CF Os Belenenses

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: CF Os Belenenses conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: SC Farense remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: SC Farense scored in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

SC Farense VS CF Os Belenenses
1 Goals Scored 1.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
SC Farense1
CF Os Belenenses0