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SC Farense vs Estrela da Amadora

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

69' Event
Miguel B.

AI Match Summary

SC Farense in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored SC Farense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
SC Farense
33%
Draws
27%
Estrela da Amadora
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: SC Farense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • SC Farense have won more games recently than Estrela da Amadora.
  • Model gives SC Farense a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors SC Farense here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
SC Farense Clean Sheet 68%
Estrela da Amadora Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Farense Estrela da Amadora
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 6
Draws 9 9
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.13 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.38 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2025 Club Friendly
SC Farense vs Estrela da Amadora
1:0
Apr 13, 2025 Liga Portugal
Estrela da Amadora vs SC Farense
0:1
Nov 29, 2024 Liga Portugal
SC Farense vs Estrela da Amadora
1:0
Apr 29, 2024 Liga Portugal
Estrela da Amadora vs SC Farense
0:3
Dec 15, 2023 Liga Portugal
SC Farense vs Estrela da Amadora
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Farense Compare

Top Goalscorer Miguel B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Estrela da Amadora Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Farense 50 / 100
Estrela da Amadora 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Farense Estrela da Amadora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estrela da Amadora let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: SC Farense stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: SC Farense scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

SC Farense VS Estrela da Amadora
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Farense

(Home)
18 Jul
SC Farense
1 : 1
Sporting CP B
30 May
CF Os Belenenses
0 : 0
SC Farense
23 May
SC Farense
1 : 0
CF Os Belenenses
17 May
Portimonense
1 : 0
SC Farense
09 May
SC Farense
1 : 1
Pacos Ferreira
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Estrela da Amadora

(Away)
18 Jul
Estrela da Amadora
1 : 2
Casa Pia
15 Jul
Estrela da Amadora
2 : 0
Naval 1893
16 May
Braga
2 : 2
Estrela da Amadora
11 May
Estrela da Amadora
0 : 0
Famalicao
02 May
Moreirense
3 : 2
Estrela da Amadora
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