Sport Picks

Portugal

Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 Estádio de São Luís

Match Events

55'

Jaiminho

56'

Alex Pinto

60'

Sub

Menino M. In: Carter A.

Out: Menino M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

SC Farense host FC Felgueiras in the Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. SC Farense have averaged 1 scored and 0.63 conceded recently, against FC Felgueiras's 1.25 scored and 0.88 conceded. Head-to-head, SC Farense have won 1 to FC Felgueiras's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 13, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (0.94 - 0.94) back FC Felgueiras to edge this. Under markets carry more value than backing a winner outright.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

SC Farense

30%

Draws

34%

FC Felgueiras

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: SC Farense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

SC Farense has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to FC Felgueiras.
Model forecasts a 36% win probability edge for SC Farense.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 31%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

SC Farense Clean Sheet 20%

FC Felgueiras Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	SC Farense	FC Felgueiras
Matches Played	32	29
Wins	9	8
Draws	10	10
Losses	13	11
Goals Scored	1	1.25
Goals Conceded	0.63	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.63	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2026 Liga Portugal 2

SC Farense vs FC Felgueiras

Possession: 41% - 45% Cards: 4 - 3

0:0

Nov 16, 2025 Liga Portugal 2

FC Felgueiras vs SC Farense

Possession: 46% - 43% Cards: 3 - 1

1:1

May 13, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A

SC Farense vs FC Felgueiras

Possession: 48% - 55% Cards: 1 - 0

0:1

May 6, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A

FC Felgueiras vs SC Farense

Possession: 55% - 45% Cards: 0 - 3

2:3

Feb 2, 2003 Liga Portugal 2

SC Farense vs FC Felgueiras

Possession: 55% - 55% Cards: 2 - 1

0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Farense 36 / 100

FC Felgueiras 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

SC Farense FC Felgueiras

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC Farense scored in 50% of their last 32 games.

FC Felgueiras let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

SC Farense went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

FC Felgueiras lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SC Farense VS FC Felgueiras

1 Goals Scored 1.25

0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88

50% Over 1.5 50%

25% Over 2.5 38%

0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Maritimo	34	20	6	8	50:29	66
2	Academico Viseu	34	17	8	9	58:33	59
3	Torreense	34	18	5	11	46:33	59
4	Vizela	34	14	9	11	39:40	51
5	FC Porto B	34	15	6	13	41:42	51
6	Leiria	34	13	11	10	52:46	50
7	Leixoes	34	15	5	14	46:55	50
8	Feirense	34	12	10	12	37:40	46
9	Chaves	34	13	6	15	42:40	45
10	Benfica B	34	11	11	12	43:44	44
11	FC Felgueiras	34	11	11	12	34:38	44
12	Lusitania FC	34	11	10	13	44:52	43
13	Sporting CP B	34	13	3	18	41:34	42
14	Penafiel	34	11	8	15	37:39	41
15	Portimonense	34	11	7	16	39:49	40
16	SC Farense	34	10	10	14	31:37	40
17	Pacos Ferreira	34	9	12	13	34:48	39
18	Oliveirense	34	8	10	16	34:49	34