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SC Farense vs Pacos Ferreira

Portugal Portugal

Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 Estádio de São Luís
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SC Farense play Pacos Ferreira in the Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, SC Farense averaged 1 goals scored and 0.63 conceded. Pacos Ferreira averaged 1 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, SC Farense won 1, Pacos Ferreira won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on May 9, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for SC Farense and 0.81 for Pacos Ferreira. This points to a Pacos Ferreira double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
SC Farense
22%
Draws
18%
Pacos Ferreira
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: SC Farense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Pacos Ferreira has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to SC Farense.
  • Model forecasts a 60% win probability edge for SC Farense.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
SC Farense Clean Sheet 68%
Pacos Ferreira Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Farense Pacos Ferreira
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 8 10
Draws 10 9
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
SC Farense vs Pacos Ferreira
1:1
Dec 28, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Pacos Ferreira vs SC Farense
0:0
Apr 20, 2021 Liga Portugal
Pacos Ferreira vs SC Farense
0:2
Dec 27, 2020 Liga Portugal
SC Farense vs Pacos Ferreira
1:1
Feb 24, 2019 Liga Portugal 2
SC Farense vs Pacos Ferreira
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Farense Compare

Top Goalscorer Menino M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Pacos Ferreira Compare

Top Goalscorer Costa D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Farense 68 / 100
Pacos Ferreira 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Farense Pacos Ferreira

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC Farense scored in 48% of their last 31 games.

Pacos Ferreira let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

SC Farense went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Pacos Ferreira lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SC Farense VS Pacos Ferreira
1 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Maritimo34206850:2966
2Academico Viseu34178958:3359
3Torreense341851146:3359
4Vizela341491139:4051
5FC Porto B341561341:4251
6Leiria3413111052:4650
7Leixoes341551446:5550
8Feirense3412101237:4046
9Chaves341361542:4045
10Benfica B3411111243:4444
11FC Felgueiras3411111234:3844
12Lusitania FC3411101344:5243
13Sporting CP B341331841:3442
14Penafiel341181537:3941
15Portimonense341171639:4940
16SC Farense3410101431:3740
17Pacos Ferreira349121334:4839
18Oliveirense348101634:4934