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SC Gaucho vs Pelotas Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Copa FGF 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Lucas Fogaca

AI Match Summary

SC Gaucho in this Copa FGF 2025 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
SC Gaucho
30%
Draws
47%
Pelotas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pelotas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Pelotas have won more games recently than SC Gaucho.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Pelotas arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor SC Gaucho, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
SC Gaucho Clean Sheet 68%
Pelotas Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Gaucho Pelotas
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 10
Draws 7 10
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1 1.34
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 13, 2026 Gaucho 2
SC Gaucho vs Pelotas
2:0
Oct 19, 2025 Copa FGF
SC Gaucho vs Pelotas
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Gaucho Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucas Fogaca
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Pelotas Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Gaucho 41 / 100
Pelotas 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Gaucho Pelotas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Gaucho Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pelotas has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Pelotas registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: SC Gaucho scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

SC Gaucho VS Pelotas
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Gaucho

(Home)
27 Sept
SC Gaucho
0 : 1
Santa Cruz RS
23 Sept
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
2 : 1
SC Gaucho
19 Sept
SC Gaucho
1 : 3
Passo Fundo
16 Sept
Lajeadense
1 : 0
SC Gaucho
13 Sept
SC Gaucho
0 : 0
Veranopolis
Page 1 of 6

Pelotas

(Away)
27 Sept
Pelotas
0 : 0
Brasil de Farroupilha
23 Sept
Gramadense
1 : 1
Pelotas
19 Sept
Pelotas
0 : 3
Brasil de Pelotas
16 Sept
Apafut
2 : 1
Pelotas
13 Sept
Pelotas
2 : 3
EC Guarani
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pelotas 7 5 1 1 19:3 16
2 SC Gaucho 7 4 2 1 11:3 14
3 Brasil de Pelotas 7 3 4 0 16:4 13
4 Esportivo Bento Goncalves 7 3 3 1 12:6 12
5 Aimore 7 3 1 3 9:5 10
6 EC Juventude 2 7 1 2 4 5:16 7
7 Internacional 2 7 2 0 5 10:15 6
8 EC Sao Jose (PA) 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Sao Gabriel 7 0 1 6 0:30 -4
Promotion - Copa FGF 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa FGF 2025 (Play Offs)