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SC Goa vs Mumbai

India India

Federation Cup 2016 Pandit Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium (Fatorda), Margao
Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event
Bose S.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with SC Goa advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
SC Goa
11%
Draws
9%
Mumbai
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: SC Goa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • SC Goa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives SC Goa a 80% chance of winning this.
  • SC Goa have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor SC Goa, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
SC Goa Clean Sheet 68%
Mumbai Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Goa Mumbai
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 13 4
Draws 7 11
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.13 0
Goals Conceded 0.25 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2016 Federation Cup
SC Goa vs Mumbai
1:0
May 1, 2016 Federation Cup
Mumbai vs SC Goa
0:1
Feb 27, 2016 I-League
Mumbai vs SC Goa
2:2
Feb 14, 2016 I-League
SC Goa vs Mumbai
3:2
Apr 22, 2015 I-League
SC Goa vs Mumbai
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Goa 86 / 100
Mumbai 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Goa Mumbai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SCG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC Goa's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Defensive concern: Mumbai conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: SC Goa remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

SC Goa VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.25 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Goa

(Home)
15 May
SC Goa
1 : 2
SC Bengaluru
08 May
Bengaluru United
4 : 1
SC Goa
02 May
SC Goa
2 : 1
MYJ-GMSC
20 Apr
Delhi FC
2 : 1
SC Goa
14 Apr
SC Goa
1 : 0
Sudeva Delhi
Page 1 of 7

Mumbai

(Away)
29 Apr
Mumbai
0 : 4
East Bengal
23 Apr
Mumbai
1 : 1
Lajong
16 Apr
Mumbai
0 : 0
Chennai City FC
08 Apr
Mumbai
0 : 0
Churchill Brothers
11 Mar
DSK Shivajians
5 : 0
Mumbai
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Aizawl FC5
Bengaluru FC3
Mumbai0
SC Goa2
Lajong4
East Bengal3
Salgaocar SC2
Mohun Bagan7
Semi-finals
Aizawl FC2
SC Goa2
Lajong0
Mohun Bagan5
Final
Aizawl FC0
Mohun Bagan5