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SC Humaita U20 vs Sao Francisco U20

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Acreano U20 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SC Humaita U20 play Sao Francisco U20 in the Acreano U20 2024. SC Humaita U20 are favorites here. Recently, SC Humaita U20 averaged 3.63 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. Sao Francisco U20 averaged 2.26 goals scored and 2.48 conceded. In past meetings, SC Humaita U20 won 2, Sao Francisco U20 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 16, 2025 ended 4:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 3.29 for SC Humaita U20 and 2.06 for Sao Francisco U20. This points to a SC Humaita U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
SC Humaita U20
15%
Draws
27%
Sao Francisco U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SC Humaita U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence
  • SC Humaita U20 picked up more points recently compared to Sao Francisco U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (3.29 vs 2.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 47%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%
SC Humaita U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Sao Francisco U20 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 81%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Humaita U20 Sao Francisco U20
Matches Played 16 23
Wins 9 8
Draws 3 2
Losses 4 13
Goals Scored 3.63 2.26
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.48
Expected Goals (xG) 4.33 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2025 Acreano U20
SC Humaita U20 vs Sao Francisco U20
4:1
May 14, 2024 Acreano U20
SC Humaita U20 vs Sao Francisco U20
3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Humaita U20 54 / 100
Sao Francisco U20 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Humaita U20 Sao Francisco U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Humaita U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick SC Humaita U20 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16%
2.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.4%
1.39
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

SC Humaita U20 attacking → ← attacking Sao Francisco U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC Humaita U20 scored in 88% of their last 16 games.

Sao Francisco U20 let in goals in 78% of their last 23 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

SC Humaita U20 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Sao Francisco U20 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 26
4.33 Goals expected (xG) 2.63
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Santa Cruz AC U20540114:712
2Rio Branco AC U20532021:511
3SC Humaita U20531117:810
4Galvez U2052128:97
5Sao Francisco U2040043:130
6Placido de Castro U2040043:240
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Vasco da Gama AC U20541017:113
2Nauas EC U2053117:610
3Andira U20531111:210
4Atletico Acreano U20521211:77
5Independencia Futebol Clube U2051045:203
6Senador Guiomard U2050050:150