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SC Lusitania vs Lajense Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
Freitas B.
(Penalty)
70' Event
Manga M.
80' Event
Ferreira J.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Lajense in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lajense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
SC Lusitania
20%
Draws
64%
Lajense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lajense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Lajense have won more games recently than SC Lusitania.
  • Win probability leans Lajense's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
SC Lusitania Clean Sheet 10%
Lajense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Lusitania Lajense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 8
Draws 6 9
Losses 19 13
Goals Scored 0.93 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Lajense vs SC Lusitania
3:1
Nov 29, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
SC Lusitania vs Lajense
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Lusitania Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Lajense Compare

Top Goalscorer Manga M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Lusitania 26 / 100
Lajense 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Lusitania Lajense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lajense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Lajense conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: SC Lusitania scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: Lajense has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

SC Lusitania VS Lajense
1 Goals Scored 1.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Lusitania

(Home)
18 Apr
GD Peniche
5 : 1
SC Lusitania
12 Apr
SC Lusitania
1 : 2
Oliveira Hospital
04 Apr
Marinhense
1 : 1
SC Lusitania
22 Mar
Lajense
3 : 1
SC Lusitania
15 Mar
SC Lusitania
0 : 1
Uniao Da Serra
Page 1 of 6

Lajense

(Away)
27 Sept
Amora
1 : 0
Lajense
20 Sept
AD Fafe
4 : 0
Lajense
13 Sept
Real SC
5 : 5
Lajense
06 Sept
Lajense
0 : 1
Vitoria Setubal
18 Apr
Lajense
1 : 0
Os Marialvas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Sernache 26 16 7 3 33:12 55
2 Oliveira Hospital 26 14 8 4 39:13 50
3 Naval 1893 26 14 6 6 36:23 48
4 SB Castelo Branco 26 14 4 8 43:26 46
5 Uniao Da Serra 26 12 8 6 38:27 44
6 Mortagua FC 26 11 6 9 23:26 39
7 Os Marialvas 26 10 6 10 33:28 36
8 Fatima 26 8 8 10 27:29 32
9 Lajense 26 8 8 10 37:37 32
10 GD Peniche 26 8 6 12 34:43 30
11 Samora Correia 26 8 5 13 27:35 29
12 Marinhense 26 5 9 12 20:38 24
13 Electrico FC 26 5 4 17 33:62 19
14 SC Lusitania 26 4 5 17 24:48 17
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)