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SC Lusitania vs Oliveira Hospital Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Barge G.
37' Event
Matheus Matias
67' Event
Santos G.

AI Match Summary

Oliveira Hospital in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Oliveira Hospital.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

5%
SC Lusitania
15%
Draws
80%
Oliveira Hospital
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Oliveira Hospital

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Oliveira Hospital lately — more wins on the board than SC Lusitania.
  • Oliveira Hospital are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
SC Lusitania Clean Sheet 10%
Oliveira Hospital Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Lusitania Oliveira Hospital
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 5 19
Draws 6 9
Losses 19 5
Goals Scored 0.93 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.87 0.73
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
SC Lusitania vs Oliveira Hospital
1:2
Dec 14, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Oliveira Hospital vs SC Lusitania
2:1
May 4, 2025 Liga 3
SC Lusitania vs Oliveira Hospital
2:2
Feb 16, 2025 Liga 3
Oliveira Hospital vs SC Lusitania
1:1
Jan 22, 2025 Liga 3
SC Lusitania vs Oliveira Hospital
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Lusitania Compare

Top Goalscorer Santos G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Oliveira Hospital Compare

Top Goalscorer Barge G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Matheus Matias
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Lusitania 10 / 100
Oliveira Hospital 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Lusitania Oliveira Hospital

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oliveira Hospital Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: SC Lusitania scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Oliveira Hospital conceded in 48% of 33 recent games.

SC Lusitania has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

SC Lusitania VS Oliveira Hospital
1 Goals Scored 1.63
2.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Lusitania

(Home)
18 Apr
GD Peniche
5 : 1
SC Lusitania
12 Apr
SC Lusitania
1 : 2
Oliveira Hospital
04 Apr
Marinhense
1 : 1
SC Lusitania
22 Mar
Lajense
3 : 1
SC Lusitania
15 Mar
SC Lusitania
0 : 1
Uniao Da Serra
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Oliveira Hospital

(Away)
20 Sept
Oliveira Hospital
3 : 2
Juv. Evora
13 Sept
Fatima
0 : 1
Oliveira Hospital
06 Sept
Oliveira Hospital
1 : 0
Naval 1893
30 Aug
Oliveira Hospital
1 : 0
GD Sourense
23 Aug
Os Marialvas
1 : 2
Oliveira Hospital
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Sernache 26 16 7 3 33:12 55
2 Oliveira Hospital 26 14 8 4 39:13 50
3 Naval 1893 26 14 6 6 36:23 48
4 SB Castelo Branco 26 14 4 8 43:26 46
5 Uniao Da Serra 26 12 8 6 38:27 44
6 Mortagua FC 26 11 6 9 23:26 39
7 Os Marialvas 26 10 6 10 33:28 36
8 Fatima 26 8 8 10 27:29 32
9 Lajense 26 8 8 10 37:37 32
10 GD Peniche 26 8 6 12 34:43 30
11 Samora Correia 26 8 5 13 27:35 29
12 Marinhense 26 5 9 12 20:38 24
13 Electrico FC 26 5 4 17 33:62 19
14 SC Lusitania 26 4 5 17 24:48 17
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)