Sport Picks

Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2023/2024

CD Portosantense

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

SC Mirandela play CD Portosantense in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, SC Mirandela averaged 0.74 goals scored and 1.16 conceded. CD Portosantense averaged 0.9 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. In past meetings, SC Mirandela won 0, CD Portosantense won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 7, 2024 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for SC Mirandela and 0.94 for CD Portosantense. This points to a CD Portosantense double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

SC Mirandela

20%

Draws

40%

CD Portosantense

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Portosantense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence

SC Mirandela picked up more points recently compared to CD Portosantense.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 0.94 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 51%

Over 2.5 Goals 37%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35%

SC Mirandela Clean Sheet 24%

CD Portosantense Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 46%

Second Half Goal 48%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	SC Mirandela	CD Portosantense
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	11	8
Draws	3	9
Losses	17	13
Goals Scored	0.74	0.9
Goals Conceded	1.16	1.1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A

SC Mirandela vs CD Portosantense

Possession: 54% - 55% Cards: 3 - 2

0:1

Dec 17, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A

CD Portosantense vs SC Mirandela

Possession: 57% - 52% Cards: 3 - 3

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Mirandela 41 / 100

CD Portosantense 38 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

SC Mirandela CD Portosantense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: CD Portosantense or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +25.2%

3.13

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +19.5%

3.23

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

SC Mirandela attacking → ← attacking CD Portosantense

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC Mirandela scored in 48% of their last 31 games.

CD Portosantense let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 0.50 goals.

SC Mirandela went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

CD Portosantense lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 33

1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	AD Limianos	26	12	9	5	35:27	45
2	Pevidem	26	11	11	4	31:22	44
3	Tirsense	26	12	7	7	37:24	43
4	Camacha	26	11	5	10	36:30	38
5	Brito	26	10	8	8	26:26	38
6	Dumiense	26	9	8	9	30:32	35
7	Os Sandinenses	26	8	11	7	31:31	35
8	SC Vila Real	26	8	11	7	24:22	35
9	Maritimo B	26	10	5	11	34:26	35
10	CDC Montalegre	26	8	10	8	25:31	34
11	Vilar de Perdizes	26	7	10	9	29:32	31
12	CD Portosantense	26	6	9	11	22:27	27
13	SC Mirandela	26	6	6	14	25:37	24
14	Ribeirao	26	5	8	13	19:37	20