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SC Mirandela vs Machico Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Lomba H.
58'
Pedro Santos
58'
Pedro Santos

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 game between SC Mirandela and Machico finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SC Mirandela.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
SC Mirandela
20%
Draws
46%
Machico
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Machico

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Machico come out ahead of SC Mirandela on wins alone.
  • 46% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Machico have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
SC Mirandela Clean Sheet 24%
Machico Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Mirandela Machico
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 11 13
Draws 2 8
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 0.77 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.53 0.92
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 10, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
SC Mirandela vs Machico
2:0
Sep 7, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Machico vs SC Mirandela
3:1
Sep 23, 2007 Taça de Portugal
Machico vs SC Mirandela
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Mirandela Compare

Top Goalscorer Lomba H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vergueiro P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.41
Avg xA / game 0.27

Machico Compare

Avg xG / game 0.84
Avg xA / game 0.51

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Mirandela 37 / 100
Machico 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Mirandela Machico

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Machico Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Machico has conceded goals in 63% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

SC Mirandela scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

SC Mirandela went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SC Mirandela VS Machico
0.67 Goals Scored 1
0.83 Goals Conceded 0.38
50% Over 1.5 38%
17% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Mirandela

(Home)
18 Apr
Brito
2 : 0
SC Mirandela
12 Apr
SC Mirandela
2 : 0
Sao Martinho
04 Apr
SC Vianense
1 : 0
SC Mirandela
22 Mar
SC Mirandela
0 : 1
Tirsense
15 Mar
Chaves B
1 : 2
SC Mirandela
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Machico

(Away)
13 Sept
FC Alpendorada
1 : 2
Machico
04 Sept
SC Salgueiros
1 : 1
Machico
30 Aug
Machico
2 : 3
Camacha
23 Aug
Beira Mar
0 : 2
Machico
15 Aug
Machico
0 : 0
Estrela Calheta
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 GD Braganca 26 14 6 6 41:29 48
2 SC Vianense 26 14 6 6 49:28 48
3 Brito 26 14 4 8 36:24 46
4 Celoricense 26 11 9 6 35:23 42
5 AD Limianos 26 11 8 7 35:32 41
6 Tirsense 26 9 13 4 31:22 40
7 Camacha 26 9 9 8 34:26 36
8 Chaves B 26 9 9 8 40:29 36
9 Machico 26 10 6 10 28:30 36
10 Sao Martinho 26 10 4 12 22:31 34
11 SC Mirandela 26 10 2 14 21:29 32
12 Vilaverdense FC 26 4 9 13 15:31 21
13 CD Ribeira Brava 26 4 8 14 20:46 20
14 Desportivo Moncao 26 4 5 17 26:53 17
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)