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SC Mirandela vs Santa Marta Penaguiao

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2021/2022 game between SC Mirandela and Santa Marta Penaguiao finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SC Mirandela.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
SC Mirandela
39%
Draws
31%
Santa Marta Penaguiao
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • SC Mirandela carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
SC Mirandela Clean Sheet 68%
Santa Marta Penaguiao Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Mirandela Santa Marta Penaguiao
Matches Played 39 27
Wins 17 6
Draws 4 6
Losses 18 15
Goals Scored 1.13 0
Goals Conceded 0.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 9, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
SC Mirandela vs Santa Marta Penaguiao
4:1
Sep 19, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Santa Marta Penaguiao vs SC Mirandela
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Mirandela 41 / 100
Santa Marta Penaguiao 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Mirandela Santa Marta Penaguiao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MIR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Marta Penaguiao let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: SC Mirandela scored in 56% of their last 39 outings.

Recent resilience: SC Mirandela stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SC Mirandela VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Mirandela

(Home)
18 Apr
Brito
2 : 0
SC Mirandela
12 Apr
SC Mirandela
2 : 0
Sao Martinho
04 Apr
SC Vianense
1 : 0
SC Mirandela
22 Mar
SC Mirandela
0 : 1
Tirsense
15 Mar
Chaves B
1 : 2
SC Mirandela
Page 1 of 8

Santa Marta Penaguiao

(Away)
08 May
Camacha
2 : 1
Santa Marta Penaguiao
02 May
Santa Marta Penaguiao
1 : 3
Camara de Lobos
24 Apr
Vila Mea
0 : 0
Santa Marta Penaguiao
10 Apr
Santa Marta Penaguiao
1 : 1
Camacha
03 Apr
Camara de Lobos
0 : 1
Santa Marta Penaguiao
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Paredes18123323:939
2Sao Martinho18115229:1038
3Tirsense1897217:834
4SC Mirandela18103521:1633
5Amarante FC1886433:2130
6Vila Mea1873822:2024
7SC Vila Real1845921:3617
8Santa Marta Penaguiao18431115:3315
9Berco18341116:2713
10Macedo de Cavaleiros18131410:276
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 (Relegation Group)