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SC Penedense U20 vs Desportiva Alianca U20

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Alagoano U20 2025
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AI Match Summary

SC Penedense U20 host Desportiva Alianca U20 in the Alagoano U20 2025. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Desportiva Alianca U20 have shipped 2.75 goals a game lately, while SC Penedense U20 have conceded 1.86 and scored 0.86. Past meetings favor Desportiva Alianca U20 slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 9, 2025, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.80 vs 1.81, favoring Desportiva Alianca U20. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
SC Penedense U20
17%
Draws
13%
Desportiva Alianca U20
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: SC Penedense U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Desportiva Alianca U20 has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to SC Penedense U20.
  • Model forecasts a 70% win probability edge for SC Penedense U20.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Alagoano U20 2025 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 52%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
SC Penedense U20 Clean Sheet 11%
Desportiva Alianca U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Penedense U20 Desportiva Alianca U20
Matches Played 15 23
Wins 5 8
Draws 5 3
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 0.86 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.86 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.86 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.86 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2025 Alagoano U20
SC Penedense U20 vs Desportiva Alianca U20
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Penedense U20 65 / 100
Desportiva Alianca U20 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Penedense U20 Desportiva Alianca U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC Penedense U20 scored in 67% of their last 15 games.

Desportiva Alianca U20 let in goals in 78% of their last 23 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

SC Penedense U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Desportiva Alianca U20 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SC Penedense U20 VS Desportiva Alianca U20
0.86 Goals Scored 1.75
1.86 Goals Conceded 2.75
86% Over 1.5 100%
43% Over 2.5 88%
29% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1CSA U20761030:519
2CRB U20751127:616
3Zumbi U20750217:415
4Desportiva Alianca U20731314:1710
5Guarany Alagoano U20722314:188
6Canoense U20721412:147
7SC Penedense U2071246:135
8Grota do Facao U2070073:460
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Clube Sociedade Esportiva U20632113:411
2ASA U20632113:611
3Guarani de Paripueira U20632110:411
4Jacioba U20624013:310
5Independente Atalaia U20621310:47
6Coruripe U2062135:117
7Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense U2000000:00
8Liga do Sertao U2060062:340