Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SC Penedense U20 vs Independente Atalaia U20

Brazil Brazil

Alagoano U20 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Venturini Tiago
28' Event
Gabriel Venicio Caetano da Silva J.
50' Event
Renivaldo
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Independente Atalaia U20 in this Alagoano U20 2024 tie, finishing 0-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
SC Penedense U20
6%
Draws
90%
Independente Atalaia U20
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Independente Atalaia U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Independente Atalaia U20 lately — more wins on the board than SC Penedense U20.
  • Independente Atalaia U20 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Independente Atalaia U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Independente Atalaia U20, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
SC Penedense U20 Clean Sheet 11%
Independente Atalaia U20 Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Penedense U20 Independente Atalaia U20
Matches Played 15 15
Wins 5 6
Draws 5 2
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 0.63 1.63
Goals Conceded 2 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2024 Alagoano U20
SC Penedense U20 vs Independente Atalaia U20
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Penedense U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Independente Atalaia U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Venturini Tiago
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gabriel Venicio Caetano da Silva J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Penedense U20 10 / 100
Independente Atalaia U20 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Penedense U20 Independente Atalaia U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IND Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC Penedense U20 scored in 67% of their last 15 games.

Independente Atalaia U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 15 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

SC Penedense U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SC Penedense U20 VS Independente Atalaia U20
0.63 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Penedense U20

(Home)
28 Jun
Canoense U20
1 : 1
SC Penedense U20
21 Jun
SC Penedense U20
3 : 0
Grota do Facao U20
12 Jun
Zumbi U20
4 : 0
SC Penedense U20
09 Jun
SC Penedense U20
0 : 2
Desportiva Alianca U20
02 Jun
SC Penedense U20
1 : 1
Guarany Alagoano U20
Page 1 of 3

Independente Atalaia U20

(Away)
18 Jul
Jacioba U20
0 : 0
Independente Atalaia U20
26 Jun
Independente Atalaia U20
1 : 0
Guarani de Paripueira U20
19 Jun
Jacioba U20
0 : 0
Independente Atalaia U20
08 Jun
Independente Atalaia U20
8 : 0
Liga do Sertao U20
31 May
ASA U20
2 : 1
Independente Atalaia U20
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Zumbi U207
Canoense U200
Liga do Sertao U201
Guarany Alagoano U200
CRB U2011
Grota do Facao U200
Coruripe U202
Guarani de Paripueira U200
Azzurra U200
SC Penedense U201
CSA U200
Independente Atalaia U201
Jacioba U202
Clube Sociedade Esportiva U200
Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense U202
Desportiva Alianca U200
Quarter-finals
Zumbi U203
Liga do Sertao U200
CRB U206
Coruripe U200
SC Penedense U200
Independente Atalaia U203
Jacioba U201
Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense U200
Semi-finals
Zumbi U201
CRB U202
Independente Atalaia U200
Jacioba U203
Final
CRB U206
Jacioba U201