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SC Penedense vs CRB

Brazil Brazil

Alagoano Estádio Alfredo Leahy, Penedo
SC Penedense Logo

SC Penedense

0 - 1
FT
CRB Logo

CRB

Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Sub
Marcelo Amaral In: Antunes G.
Out: Marcelo Amaral
46'
Sub
Igor Badio In: Davisson
Out: Igor Badio
54'
Sub
Mikael In: Willian Pottker
Out: Mikael
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Alagoano game between SC Penedense and CRB finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CRB.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
SC Penedense
20%
Draws
61%
CRB
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CRB

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • CRB carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans CRB's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Alagoano form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and CRB have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
SC Penedense Clean Sheet 15%
CRB Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Penedense CRB
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 4 11
Draws 9 8
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 0.4 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Alagoano
SC Penedense vs CRB
0:1
Feb 23, 2025 Alagoano
SC Penedense vs CRB
1:3
Feb 15, 2025 Alagoano
CRB vs SC Penedense
2:0
Jan 29, 2025 Alagoano
CRB vs SC Penedense
2:2
Jan 20, 2024 Alagoano
SC Penedense vs CRB
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Penedense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

CRB Compare

Top Goalscorer Douglas Baggio
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.41
Avg xA / game 0.86

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Penedense 15 / 100
CRB 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Penedense CRB

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CRB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: CRB conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

SC Penedense's goal record stands at 30% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: SC Penedense remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS CRB
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Penedense

(Home)
18 Mar
SC Penedense
2 : 2
Zumbi
02 Mar
SC Penedense
0 : 1
ASA
25 Feb
Londrina
1 : 0
SC Penedense
21 Feb
Miguelense
0 : 1
SC Penedense
07 Feb
ASA
2 : 0
SC Penedense
Page 1 of 6

CRB

(Away)
16 Aug
CRB
0 : 0
Novorizontino
11 Aug
Avai
0 : 1
CRB
27 Jul
CRB
2 : 0
Vila Nova FC
22 Jul
Ceara
0 : 1
CRB
16 Jul
CRB
2 : 1
Nautico
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ASA 7 5 2 0 13:3 17
2 CSA 7 5 2 0 10:1 17
3 CRB 7 4 1 2 8:8 13
4 Murici 7 3 2 2 8:5 11
5 Cruzeiro Arapiraca 7 2 0 5 6:12 6
6 Coruripe 7 1 2 4 5:11 5
7 SC Penedense 7 1 2 4 2:8 5
8 Clube Sociedade Esportiva 7 1 1 5 6:10 4
Promotion - Alagoano (Play Offs)