Sport Picks
SC Penedense vs Igaci
Brazil
Copa Alagoas 2025 Estádio Alfredo Leahy, Penedo 
AI Match Summary
A one-off knockout match in the Copa Alagoas 2025. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. SC Penedense have averaged 0.79 scored and 0.87 conceded recently, against Igaci's 0.81 scored and 1.62 conceded. Head-to-head, SC Penedense have won 2 to Igaci's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 1, 2025, ending 3:0. The numbers (0.92 xG vs 1.00) point toward SC Penedense. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- SC Penedense carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives SC Penedense a 85% chance of winning this.
- SC Penedense have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor SC Penedense, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | SC Penedense | Igaci |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 39 | 26 |
| Wins | 10 | 8 |
| Draws | 12 | 3 |
| Losses | 17 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0.79 | 0.81 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.87 | 1.62 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.92 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Away concern: Igaci has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.
Igaci has conceded goals in 62% of their last 26 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Attacking prowess: SC Penedense scored in 44% of their last 39 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
SC Penedense
(Home)Igaci
(Away)League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SC Penedense | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 19:3 | 13 |
| 2 | Coruripe | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7:3 | 12 |
| 3 | CRB | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13:2 | 11 |
| 4 | Zumbi | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:3 | 11 |
| 5 | Murici | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12:7 | 10 |
| 6 | Dimensao Capela | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6:13 | 6 |
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clube Sociedade Esportiva | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 11:1 | 18 |
| 2 | CSA | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5:5 | 9 |
| 3 | ASA | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:5 | 7 |
| 4 | Guarany Alagoano | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:11 | 5 |
| 5 | Igaci | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0:18 | 0 |
| 6 | Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1:29 | 0 |
