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SC Poltava vs Dynamo Kyiv

Ukraine Ukraine

Premier League 2025/2026 Zirka Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SC Poltava play Dynamo Kyiv in the Premier League 2025/2026. Dynamo Kyiv are favorites here. Recently, SC Poltava averaged 0.97 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. Dynamo Kyiv averaged 2.31 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, SC Poltava won 1, Dynamo Kyiv won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 16, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.85 for SC Poltava and 2.08 for Dynamo Kyiv. This points to a Dynamo Kyiv double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
SC Poltava
15%
Draws
69%
Dynamo Kyiv
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dynamo Kyiv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • SC Poltava picked up more points recently compared to Dynamo Kyiv.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.85 vs 2.08 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
SC Poltava Clean Sheet 10%
Dynamo Kyiv Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Poltava Dynamo Kyiv
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 3 22
Draws 6 2
Losses 21 5
Goals Scored 0.97 2.31
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.83 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.67 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Premier League
SC Poltava vs Dynamo Kyiv
0:2
Dec 1, 2025 Premier League
Dynamo Kyiv vs SC Poltava
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Poltava Compare

Avg xG / game 0.64
Avg xA / game 0.41

Dynamo Kyiv Compare

Top Goalscorer Guerrero E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Poltava 16 / 100
Dynamo Kyiv 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Poltava Dynamo Kyiv

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dynamo Kyiv Win (2)
Secondary Pick Dynamo Kyiv & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +100%
12.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.79
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

SC Poltava attacking → ← attacking Dynamo Kyiv

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC Poltava scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Dynamo Kyiv let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

SC Poltava went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Dynamo Kyiv lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

15 Points in last 5 68
0.83 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
2.67 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Shakhtar30226271:2172
2LNZ Cherkasy30186639:1760
3Polissya Zhytomyr30185751:2159
4Dynamo Kyiv30176766:3657
5FC Kharkiv301312536:1951
6Kolos Kovalivka301310730:2549
7Kryvbas30139853:4648
8Zorya301210842:3646
9Karpaty Lviv301011940:3141
10Epitsentr30881436:4532
11Veres Rivne307101326:4031
12Obolon307101328:4931
13Kudrivka30771632:4828
14Rukh Lviv30632120:5121
15Oleksandriya30381924:5817
16SC Poltava30272123:7413