Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SC Poltava vs FC Mariupol II

Ukraine Ukraine

Druha Liga 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SC Poltava in this Druha Liga 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored SC Poltava.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
SC Poltava
39%
Draws
31%
FC Mariupol II
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FC Mariupol II lately — more wins on the board than SC Poltava.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • SC Poltava have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
SC Poltava Clean Sheet 15%
FC Mariupol II Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Poltava FC Mariupol II
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 2 11
Draws 6 1
Losses 19 18
Goals Scored 0.75 0
Goals Conceded 2.13 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2012 Druha Liga
SC Poltava vs FC Mariupol II
1:0
Sep 25, 2011 Druha Liga
FC Mariupol II vs SC Poltava
0:2
May 14, 2011 Druha Liga
FC Mariupol II vs SC Poltava
2:1
Sep 11, 2010 Druha Liga
SC Poltava vs FC Mariupol II
1:0
May 1, 2010 Druha Liga
SC Poltava vs FC Mariupol II
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Poltava 30 / 100
FC Mariupol II 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Poltava FC Mariupol II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SCP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Mariupol II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: FC Mariupol II registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

SC Poltava found the back of the net in 44% of recent matches (27 games).

Scoring Trends

SC Poltava VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sumy26213251:1366
2Desna26185348:1959
3Cherkashchyna26158336:1653
4Nova Kakhovka26157451:1852
5UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka26146643:2548
6Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (2004)26116940:3233
7Real Pharma Odesa26961128:4133
8Krystal26951230:3232
9Skala Stryj26841426:3628
10FK Dynamo Khmelnytskyi26641623:5022
11Ch. Odesa 226551619:2020
12Nyva Ternopil26961130:4118
13Yednist26361719:5715
14Yalpuh Bolhrad26212310:547
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1SC Poltava26185350:1959
2Kramatorsk 226191641:1558
3Shakhter Sverdlovsk26156549:2351
4Kryvbas Krivoy Rog26163744:2251
5Kremin26163734:2351
6Stal Kamianske26153834:1948
7Myr Hornostajivka26137636:2646
8Shakhtar 3261011546:5631
9Hirnyk-Sport26681228:3926
10FC Sevastopol 226731626:5124
11Dnipro II26651524:4523
12SK Metalurh Zaporizhya 226531819:4318
13FC Mariupol II26521925:4717
14FC Nikopol26521920:4817