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SC Poltava vs Karpaty Lviv

Ukraine Ukraine

Premier League 2025/2026 Zirka Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Kostenko Y.
25' Event
Plakhtyr D.
Penalty Missed
30' Event
Alkain X.
Assist: Bruninho

AI Match Summary

SC Poltava host Karpaty Lviv in the Premier League 2025/2026. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: SC Poltava at 0.63 goals for, 2.25 against; Karpaty Lviv at 1.38 for, 0.88 against. Past meetings favor Karpaty Lviv slightly — 0-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 13, 2026, ending 0:4. xG projections (0.76 - 1.81) back Karpaty Lviv to edge this. Karpaty Lviv in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
SC Poltava
6%
Draws
90%
Karpaty Lviv
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Karpaty Lviv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Karpaty Lviv has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to SC Poltava.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Karpaty Lviv.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Premier League 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
SC Poltava Clean Sheet 11%
Karpaty Lviv Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Poltava Karpaty Lviv
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 2 10
Draws 6 7
Losses 20 11
Goals Scored 0.63 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.25 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2026 Premier League
SC Poltava vs Karpaty Lviv
0:4
Sep 14, 2025 Premier League
Karpaty Lviv vs SC Poltava
1:1
Apr 27, 2024 Persha Liga
SC Poltava vs Karpaty Lviv
0:1
Mar 23, 2024 Persha Liga
Karpaty Lviv vs SC Poltava
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Poltava Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Karpaty Lviv Compare

Top Goalscorer Alkain X.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Baboglo V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Poltava 10 / 100
Karpaty Lviv 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Poltava Karpaty Lviv

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC Poltava scored in 43% of their last 28 games.

Karpaty Lviv let in goals in 57% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

SC Poltava went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Karpaty Lviv lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SC Poltava VS Karpaty Lviv
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Shakhtar30226271:2172
2LNZ Cherkasy30186639:1760
3Polissya Zhytomyr30185751:2159
4Dynamo Kyiv30176766:3657
5FC Kharkiv301312536:1951
6Kolos Kovalivka301310730:2549
7Kryvbas30139853:4648
8Zorya301210842:3646
9Karpaty Lviv301011940:3141
10Epitsentr30881436:4532
11Veres Rivne307101326:4031
12Obolon307101328:4931
13Kudrivka30771632:4828
14Rukh Lviv30632120:5121
15Oleksandriya30381924:5817
16SC Poltava30272123:7413