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SC Poltava vs Nyva Ternopil - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ukraine Ukraine

Persha Liga Lokomotyv Stadium, Poltava
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Boryachuk A.
14'
Savenkov A.
31'
Davydov S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Persha Liga matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
SC Poltava
30%
Draws
35%
Nyva Ternopil
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Nyva Ternopil have won more games recently than SC Poltava.
  • 35% — that's where the model lands on SC Poltava taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
SC Poltava Clean Sheet 68%
Nyva Ternopil Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Poltava Nyva Ternopil
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 6 7
Draws 7 12
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.18 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Persha Liga
SC Poltava vs Nyva Ternopil
1:1
Sep 18, 2025 Ukrainian Cup
Nyva Ternopil vs SC Poltava
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Poltava Compare

Top Goalscorer Sad V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Nyva Ternopil Compare

Top Goalscorer Boryachuk A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Poltava 50 / 100
Nyva Ternopil 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Poltava Nyva Ternopil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Poltava Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Nyva Ternopil conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: SC Poltava remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

SC Poltava's goal record stands at 54% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

SC Poltava VS Nyva Ternopil
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Poltava

(Home)
17 Oct
SC Poltava
4 : 0
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
10 Oct
Probiy Horodenka
3 : 2
SC Poltava
02 Oct
SC Poltava
3 : 2
FC Chernihiv
26 Sept
Kulikiv
2 : 1
SC Poltava
20 Sept
SC Poltava
3 : 0
Metalist Kharkiv
Page 1 of 6

Nyva Ternopil

(Away)
18 Oct
Lokomotyv Kyiv
0 : 0
Nyva Ternopil
11 Oct
Nyva Ternopil
3 : 1
Kolos Kovalivka 2
05 Oct
Fenix Mariupol
0 : 0
Nyva Ternopil
27 Sept
Nyva Ternopil
0 : 0
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
21 Sept
Victoria
1 : 3
Nyva Ternopil
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Victoria 12 7 3 2 16:9 24
2 Ahrobiznes Volochysk 12 7 2 3 19:14 23
3 Kulikiv 12 6 3 3 25:14 21
4 SC Poltava 12 6 3 3 22:10 21
5 Fenix Mariupol 12 6 3 3 18:13 21
6 Oleksandriya 12 5 5 2 17:11 20
7 Lokomotyv Kyiv 12 4 5 3 15:13 17
8 Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 12 4 3 5 12:14 15
9 Metalist Kharkiv 12 4 3 5 13:14 15
10 Nyva Ternopil 12 3 6 3 12:10 15
11 Inhulets 11 4 2 5 11:16 14
12 Kolos Kovalivka 2 12 4 1 7 12:20 13
13 UCSA 12 2 5 5 15:19 11
14 FC Chernihiv 11 2 4 5 12:16 10
15 Probiy Horodenka 12 2 3 7 12:30 9
16 Zhytomyr 2 12 1 5 6 17:25 8
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Persha Liga (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Druha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)