Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SC Poltava vs Oleksandriya

Ukraine Ukraine

Premier League 2025/2026 Zirka Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SC Poltava play Oleksandriya in the Premier League 2025/2026. Oleksandriya are favorites here. Recently, SC Poltava averaged 0.97 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. Oleksandriya averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.59 conceded. In past meetings, SC Poltava won 0, Oleksandriya won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 1, 2026 ended 5:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for SC Poltava and 1.63 for Oleksandriya. This points to a Oleksandriya double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
SC Poltava
24%
Draws
57%
Oleksandriya
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Oleksandriya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

87% / Very High Confidence
  • SC Poltava picked up more points recently compared to Oleksandriya.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
SC Poltava Clean Sheet 14%
Oleksandriya Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Poltava Oleksandriya
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 3 8
Draws 6 8
Losses 21 13
Goals Scored 0.97 1.1
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Oleksandriya vs SC Poltava
5:2
Apr 3, 2026 Premier League
SC Poltava vs Oleksandriya
3:3
Sep 27, 2025 Premier League
Oleksandriya vs SC Poltava
1:0
Jul 17, 2023 Club Friendly
Oleksandriya vs SC Poltava
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Poltava Compare

Top Goalscorer Doroshenko A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kobzar B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Oleksandriya Compare

Top Goalscorer Amaral M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Castillo B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Poltava 20 / 100
Oleksandriya 53 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Poltava Oleksandriya

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oleksandriya Win (2)
Secondary Pick Oleksandriya & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +72.7%
9.09
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

SC Poltava attacking → ← attacking Oleksandriya

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC Poltava scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Oleksandriya let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

SC Poltava went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Oleksandriya lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

15 Points in last 5 32
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
2.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Shakhtar30226271:2172
2LNZ Cherkasy30186639:1760
3Polissya Zhytomyr30185751:2159
4Dynamo Kyiv30176766:3657
5FC Kharkiv301312536:1951
6Kolos Kovalivka301310730:2549
7Kryvbas30139853:4648
8Zorya301210842:3646
9Karpaty Lviv301011940:3141
10Epitsentr30881436:4532
11Veres Rivne307101326:4031
12Obolon307101328:4931
13Kudrivka30771632:4828
14Rukh Lviv30632120:5121
15Oleksandriya30381924:5817
16SC Poltava30272123:7413