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SC Poltava vs Polissya Zhytomyr

Ukraine Ukraine

Premier League 2025/2026 Zirka Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SC Poltava play Polissya Zhytomyr in the Premier League 2025/2026. Polissya Zhytomyr are favorites here. Recently, SC Poltava averaged 0.97 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. Polissya Zhytomyr averaged 2.66 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. In past meetings, SC Poltava won 0, Polissya Zhytomyr won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 10, 2026 ended 0:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.98 for SC Poltava and 2.46 for Polissya Zhytomyr. This points to a Polissya Zhytomyr double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

11%
SC Poltava
19%
Draws
70%
Polissya Zhytomyr
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Polissya Zhytomyr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • SC Poltava picked up more points recently compared to Polissya Zhytomyr.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.98 vs 2.46 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 64%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
SC Poltava Clean Sheet 10%
Polissya Zhytomyr Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Poltava Polissya Zhytomyr
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 3 19
Draws 6 5
Losses 21 5
Goals Scored 0.97 2.66
Goals Conceded 2.5 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.83 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.67 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2026 Premier League
SC Poltava vs Polissya Zhytomyr
0:4
Oct 4, 2025 Premier League
Polissya Zhytomyr vs SC Poltava
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Poltava Compare

Avg xG / game 0.64
Avg xA / game 0.41

Polissya Zhytomyr Compare

Top Goalscorer Andriyevski O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sarapiy E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Poltava 12 / 100
Polissya Zhytomyr 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Poltava Polissya Zhytomyr

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Polissya Zhytomyr Win (2)
Secondary Pick Polissya Zhytomyr & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +266.6%
33.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.1%
1.72
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

SC Poltava attacking → ← attacking Polissya Zhytomyr

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC Poltava scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Polissya Zhytomyr let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

SC Poltava went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Polissya Zhytomyr lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

15 Points in last 5 62
0.83 Goals expected (xG) 2.25
2.67 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Shakhtar30226271:2172
2LNZ Cherkasy30186639:1760
3Polissya Zhytomyr30185751:2159
4Dynamo Kyiv30176766:3657
5FC Kharkiv301312536:1951
6Kolos Kovalivka301310730:2549
7Kryvbas30139853:4648
8Zorya301210842:3646
9Karpaty Lviv301011940:3141
10Epitsentr30881436:4532
11Veres Rivne307101326:4031
12Obolon307101328:4931
13Kudrivka30771632:4828
14Rukh Lviv30632120:5121
15Oleksandriya30381924:5817
16SC Poltava30272123:7413