Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SC Pombal vs SB Castelo Branco

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2024/2025 Estádio Municipal de Pombal, Pombal
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Emanuel Oliveira
Own Goal
16'
Duarte S.
45'
Fagundes D.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2024/2025 game between SC Pombal and SB Castelo Branco finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SB Castelo Branco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
SC Pombal
15%
Draws
42%
SB Castelo Branco
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SC Pombal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and SB Castelo Branco come out ahead of SC Pombal on wins alone.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on SC Pombal taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
SC Pombal Clean Sheet 68%
SB Castelo Branco Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Pombal SB Castelo Branco
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 17
Draws 8 3
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.13 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
SB Castelo Branco vs SC Pombal
1:3
Nov 10, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
SC Pombal vs SB Castelo Branco
0:1
Dec 28, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
SC Pombal vs SB Castelo Branco
1:2
Oct 12, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
SB Castelo Branco vs SC Pombal
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Pombal 59 / 100
SB Castelo Branco 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Pombal SB Castelo Branco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Pombal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC Pombal scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

SB Castelo Branco's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

SB Castelo Branco lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS SB Castelo Branco
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Pombal

(Home)
13 Apr
SC Pombal
1 : 3
Marinhense
06 Apr
O Elvas CAD
4 : 0
SC Pombal
29 Mar
GD Peniche
0 : 3
SC Pombal
16 Mar
SC Pombal
0 : 3
Fatima
09 Mar
SB Castelo Branco
1 : 3
SC Pombal
Page 1 of 6

SB Castelo Branco

(Away)
13 Sept
SB Castelo Branco
2 : 3
Nogueirense
06 Sept
Alverca B
0 : 1
SB Castelo Branco
29 Aug
Fatima
3 : 1
SB Castelo Branco
23 Aug
SB Castelo Branco
1 : 4
Naval 1893
16 Aug
Oliveira Hospital
2 : 3
SB Castelo Branco
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 O Elvas CAD 26 20 5 1 41:10 65
2 Fatima 26 14 7 5 30:12 49
3 Arronches Benfica 26 13 9 4 27:17 48
4 GD Peniche 26 10 9 7 31:23 39
5 Os Marialvas 26 9 10 7 30:28 37
6 Mortagua FC 26 8 13 5 23:21 37
7 Marinhense 26 9 9 8 24:21 36
8 Alverca B 26 9 8 9 28:25 35
9 SB Castelo Branco 26 8 10 8 23:21 34
10 SC Pombal 26 8 8 10 29:34 32
11 Uniao de Coimbra 26 6 7 13 26:44 25
12 Sertanense 26 4 9 13 23:33 21
13 Alcains 26 4 6 16 17:36 18
14 Pero Pinheiro 26 2 6 18 12:39 12
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)