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SC Rio Grande vs Farroupilha

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 3 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SC Rio Grande play Farroupilha in the Gaucho 3 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, SC Rio Grande averaged 0.75 goals scored and 1.75 conceded. Farroupilha averaged 0.75 goals scored and 1.08 conceded. In past meetings, SC Rio Grande won 0, Farroupilha won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 13, 2024 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.81 for SC Rio Grande and 1.06 for Farroupilha. This points to a Farroupilha double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
SC Rio Grande
21%
Draws
52%
Farroupilha
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Farroupilha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • SC Rio Grande picked up more points recently compared to Farroupilha.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.81 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%
SC Rio Grande Clean Sheet 22%
Farroupilha Clean Sheet 18%
First Half Goal 60%
Second Half Goal 64%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Rio Grande Farroupilha
Matches Played 16 12
Wins 4 3
Draws 1 5
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 0.75 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.08
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 13, 2024 Gaucho 3
Farroupilha vs SC Rio Grande
2:1
Oct 5, 2024 Gaucho 3
SC Rio Grande vs Farroupilha
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Rio Grande Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Farroupilha Compare

Top Goalscorer Roberto J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Rio Grande 29 / 100
Farroupilha 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Rio Grande Farroupilha

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Farroupilha or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +42%
5.26
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.7%
2.44
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

SC Rio Grande attacking → ← attacking Farroupilha

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC Rio Grande scored in 50% of their last 16 games.

Farroupilha let in goals in 75% of their last 12 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

SC Rio Grande went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Farroupilha lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

13 Points in last 5 14
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Gramadense632111:811
2Real SC62317:59
3EC Guarani62316:49
4Apafut60243:102
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Riograndense63218:411
2SC Sao Paulo62138:97
3SC Rio Grande61145:104
4Farroupilha63216:43