Sport Picks

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SC Rio Grande vs Farroupilha

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 3 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Roberto J.

AI Match Summary

Farroupilha in this Gaucho 3 2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Farroupilha.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
SC Rio Grande
28%
Draws
22%
Farroupilha
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: SC Rio Grande

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • SC Rio Grande have won more games recently than Farroupilha.
  • SC Rio Grande are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
SC Rio Grande Clean Sheet 68%
Farroupilha Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Rio Grande Farroupilha
Matches Played 16 12
Wins 4 3
Draws 1 5
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 0.88 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 13, 2024 Gaucho 3
Farroupilha vs SC Rio Grande
2:1
Oct 5, 2024 Gaucho 3
SC Rio Grande vs Farroupilha
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Rio Grande Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Farroupilha Compare

Top Goalscorer Roberto J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Rio Grande 59 / 100
Farroupilha 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Rio Grande Farroupilha

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RIO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Farroupilha let in goals in 75% of their last 12 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Away concern: Farroupilha has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: SC Rio Grande scored in 50% of their last 16 outings.

Scoring Trends

SC Rio Grande VS Farroupilha
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gramadense632111:811
2Real SC62317:59
3EC Guarani62316:49
4Apafut60243:102
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Riograndense63218:411
2SC Sao Paulo62138:97
3SC Rio Grande61145:104
4Farroupilha63216:43