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SC Sagamihara vs FC Osaka - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J3 League Sagamihara Gion Stadium, Sagamihara
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Match Events

30'
Kambe K.
40'
Pytlik K.
60'
Sub
Kubo R. In: Toya T.
Out: Kubo R.

AI Match Summary

SC Sagamihara in this J3 League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored SC Sagamihara.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
SC Sagamihara
20%
Draws
42%
FC Osaka
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Osaka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to SC Sagamihara lately — more wins on the board than FC Osaka.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
SC Sagamihara Clean Sheet 12%
FC Osaka Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Sagamihara FC Osaka
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 12
Draws 3 4
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.9 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 J3 League
SC Sagamihara vs FC Osaka
1:0
Aug 30, 2025 J3 League
FC Osaka vs SC Sagamihara
0:2
May 18, 2025 J3 League
SC Sagamihara vs FC Osaka
1:2
Nov 15, 2024 J3 League
FC Osaka vs SC Sagamihara
1:0
May 3, 2024 J3 League
SC Sagamihara vs FC Osaka
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Sagamihara 30 / 100
FC Osaka 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Sagamihara FC Osaka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Osaka Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC Sagamihara found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: FC Osaka conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: SC Sagamihara stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

SC Sagamihara VS FC Osaka
1.38 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Sagamihara

(Home)
03 Oct
SC Sagamihara
1 : 0
FC Osaka
26 Sept
Renofa Yamaguchi
2 : 2
SC Sagamihara
20 Sept
SC Sagamihara
1 : 2
Giravanz Kitakyushu
13 Sept
Matsumoto Yamaga
1 : 3
SC Sagamihara
05 Sept
SC Sagamihara
1 : 1
Nagano Parceiro
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FC Osaka

(Away)
03 Oct
SC Sagamihara
1 : 0
FC Osaka
29 Sept
FC Osaka
1 : 2
Avispa Fukuoka
26 Sept
Kochi United
0 : 4
FC Osaka
18 Sept
FC Osaka
4 : 1
Fukushima United
14 Sept
FC Osaka
2 : 1
Ehime
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kagoshima United 9 7 2 0 19:10 23
2 Ehime 9 6 2 1 22:10 20
3 SC Sagamihara 10 5 3 2 18:12 18
4 FC Osaka 10 4 5 1 18:9 17
5 Renofa Yamaguchi 9 5 2 2 13:7 17
6 Nara Club 9 5 2 2 19:16 17
7 Kanazawa 10 4 2 4 17:14 14
8 Kumamoto 9 3 5 1 7:4 14
9 Gifu 9 4 1 4 19:10 13
10 Reilac Shiga 9 4 1 4 14:14 13
11 Gainare Tottori 9 4 1 4 12:18 13
12 Nagano Parceiro 9 3 2 4 11:13 11
13 Ryukyu 9 3 2 4 10:12 11
14 Tochigi SC 9 2 4 3 11:14 10
15 Giravanz Kitakyushu 9 2 4 3 12:16 10
16 Matsumoto Yamaga 9 1 5 3 8:11 8
17 Fukushima United 9 2 1 6 18:23 7
18 Thespakusatsu Gunma 9 2 0 7 8:18 6
19 Kamatamare Sanuki 10 1 2 7 12:20 5
20 Kochi United 9 1 2 6 3:20 5
Promotion - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J3 League (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - J3 League (Relegation)