Sport Picks
SC Sagamihara vs Giravanz Kitakyushu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Japan
J3 League Sagamihara Gion Stadium, Sagamihara 
Match Events
29'
29'
Koh S.
Assist: Yasumitsu S.
46'
46'
Sub
Takeuchi T. In: Kambe K.
Out: Takeuchi T.
49'
49'
Yasumitsu S.
Assist: Yoshida K.
AI Match Summary
The J3 League game between SC Sagamihara and Giravanz Kitakyushu finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Giravanz Kitakyushu.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
30%
33%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: SC Sagamihara
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Giravanz Kitakyushu haven't matched SC Sagamihara's recent run of results.
- 37% — that's where the model lands on SC Sagamihara taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
SC Sagamihara Clean Sheet 16%
Giravanz Kitakyushu Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | SC Sagamihara | Giravanz Kitakyushu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 8 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 11 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.9 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.66 | 1.76 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 20, 2026 J3 League
SC Sagamihara vs Giravanz Kitakyushu
1:2
Aug 23, 2025 J3 League
SC Sagamihara vs Giravanz Kitakyushu
1:0
Apr 20, 2025 J3 League
Giravanz Kitakyushu vs SC Sagamihara
1:1
Oct 6, 2024 J3 League
SC Sagamihara vs Giravanz Kitakyushu
0:3
Feb 24, 2024 J3 League
Giravanz Kitakyushu vs SC Sagamihara
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
SC Sagamihara Compare
Top Goalscorer Maeda T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Giravanz Kitakyushu Compare
Top Goalscorer Koh S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Yasumitsu S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
SC Sagamihara 48 / 100
Giravanz Kitakyushu 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
SC Sagamihara Giravanz Kitakyushu
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SC Sagamihara Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
SC Sagamihara scored in 86% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: Giravanz Kitakyushu conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Solid form: SC Sagamihara remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
SC Sagamihara VS Giravanz Kitakyushu
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
SC Sagamihara
(Home) 03 Oct
SC Sagamihara
1 : 0 FC Osaka
26 Sept
Renofa Yamaguchi
2 : 2 SC Sagamihara
20 Sept
SC Sagamihara
1 : 2 Giravanz Kitakyushu
13 Sept
Matsumoto Yamaga
1 : 3 SC Sagamihara
05 Sept
SC Sagamihara
1 : 1 Nagano Parceiro
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
SC Sagamihara
1 : 0 FC Osaka
20 Sept
SC Sagamihara
1 : 2 Giravanz Kitakyushu
05 Sept
SC Sagamihara
1 : 1 Nagano Parceiro
02 Sept
SC Sagamihara
0 : 3 Iwata
23 Aug
SC Sagamihara
2 : 1 Kanazawa
Page 1 of 4
Giravanz Kitakyushu
(Away) 03 Oct
Giravanz Kitakyushu
2 : 0 Kochi United
29 Sept
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1 : 3 Nagoya Grampus
26 Sept
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1 : 1 Kagoshima United
20 Sept
SC Sagamihara
1 : 2 Giravanz Kitakyushu
12 Sept
Giravanz Kitakyushu
2 : 4 Gainare Tottori
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
SC Sagamihara
1 : 2 Giravanz Kitakyushu
09 Sept
Ryukyu
3 : 0 Giravanz Kitakyushu
05 Sept
Ehime
4 : 2 Giravanz Kitakyushu
22 Aug
Tochigi SC
2 : 2 Giravanz Kitakyushu
18 Jul
Yokohama FC
3 : 2 Giravanz Kitakyushu
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kagoshima United | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 19:10 | 23 |
| 2 | Ehime | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 22:10 | 20 |
| 3 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:7 | 17 |
| 4 | Nara Club | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 19:16 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Osaka | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 17:8 | 16 |
| 6 | SC Sagamihara | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15:10 | 15 |
| 7 | Kumamoto | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 7:4 | 14 |
| 8 | Gifu | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 19:10 | 13 |
| 9 | Kanazawa | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16:13 | 13 |
| 10 | Reilac Shiga | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14:14 | 13 |
| 11 | Gainare Tottori | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12:18 | 13 |
| 12 | Nagano Parceiro | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11:13 | 11 |
| 13 | Ryukyu | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:12 | 11 |
| 14 | Tochigi SC | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11:14 | 10 |
| 15 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12:16 | 10 |
| 16 | Matsumoto Yamaga | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8:11 | 8 |
| 17 | Fukushima United | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 18:23 | 7 |
| 18 | Thespakusatsu Gunma | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8:18 | 6 |
| 19 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10:17 | 5 |
| 20 | Kochi United | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3:20 | 5 |
Promotion - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J3 League (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - J3 League (Relegation)
