Sport Picks
SC Sagamihara vs Iwata
Japan
J.League Cup Sagamihara Gion Stadium, Sagamihara 
Match Events
35'
35'
Watanabe R.
38'
38'
Kambe K.
39'
39'
Yamazaki K.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-3. This leg finished 0-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
20%
44%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Iwata
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- SC Sagamihara have won more games recently than Iwata.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on SC Sagamihara taking it.
- SC Sagamihara have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Iwata, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
SC Sagamihara Clean Sheet 16%
Iwata Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | SC Sagamihara | Iwata |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 28 |
| Wins | 15 | 12 |
| Draws | 4 | 1 |
| Losses | 12 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.84 | 1.29 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.71 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 2, 2026 J.League Cup
SC Sagamihara vs Iwata
0:3
Jun 11, 2025 Emperors Cup
Iwata vs SC Sagamihara
1:2
Aug 28, 2021 J2 League
Iwata vs SC Sagamihara
1:1
Apr 18, 2021 J2 League
SC Sagamihara vs Iwata
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
SC Sagamihara Compare
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Iwata Compare
Top Goalscorer Watanabe R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Yamazaki K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
SC Sagamihara 41 / 100
Iwata 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
SC Sagamihara Iwata
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
SC Sagamihara found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).
Iwata's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.
SC Sagamihara went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
SC Sagamihara VS Iwata
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
SC Sagamihara
(Home) 26 Sept
Renofa Yamaguchi
2 : 2 SC Sagamihara
20 Sept
SC Sagamihara
1 : 2 Giravanz Kitakyushu
13 Sept
Matsumoto Yamaga
1 : 3 SC Sagamihara
05 Sept
SC Sagamihara
1 : 1 Nagano Parceiro
02 Sept
SC Sagamihara
0 : 3 Iwata
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20 Sept
SC Sagamihara
1 : 2 Giravanz Kitakyushu
05 Sept
SC Sagamihara
1 : 1 Nagano Parceiro
02 Sept
SC Sagamihara
0 : 3 Iwata
23 Aug
SC Sagamihara
2 : 1 Kanazawa
08 Aug
SC Sagamihara
0 : 0 Kumamoto
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Iwata
(Away) 26 Sept
Iwata
1 : 2 Vanraure
19 Sept
Albirex Niigata
2 : 1 Iwata
12 Sept
Kofu
0 : 1 Iwata
06 Sept
Iwata
0 : 1 Toyama
02 Sept
SC Sagamihara
0 : 3 Iwata
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19 Sept
Albirex Niigata
2 : 1 Iwata
12 Sept
Kofu
0 : 1 Iwata
02 Sept
SC Sagamihara
0 : 3 Iwata
29 Aug
Tochigi City
1 : 3 Iwata
16 Aug
Yokohama FC
3 : 1 Iwata
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima -
Tochigi City -
Matsumoto Yamaga -
Albirex Niigata -
Shimizu S-Pulse -
Kanazawa -
Yokohama F. Marinos -
Montedio Yamagata -
Urawa Reds -
Toyama -
Yokohama FC -
Gifu -
Okayama -
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo -
Nagoya Grampus -
Giravanz Kitakyushu -
Kawasaki Frontale -
Kumamoto -
Chiba -
Iwata -
Avispa Fukuoka -
FC Osaka -
Verdy -
Sagan Tosu -
Cerezo Osaka -
Fujieda MYFC -
V-Varen Nagasaki -
Gainare Tottori -
FC Tokyo -
Ehime -
Mito -
Fukushima United -
Machida Zelvia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kyoto -
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Gamba Osaka -
1/16-finals
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Machida Zelvia -
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Kyoto -
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
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Gamba Osaka -
1/8-finals
TBD -
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Machida Zelvia -
Kyoto -
Kashiwa Reysol -
Gamba Osaka -
1/64-finals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima -
TBD -
Vanraure 0
Tochigi City 2
Matsumoto Yamaga 4
Shonan Bellmare 3
Thespakusatsu Gunma 1
Albirex Niigata 2
Shimizu S-Pulse -
TBD -
Kanazawa 2
Imabari 1
Yokohama F. Marinos -
TBD -
Tochigi SC 0
Montedio Yamagata 1
Urawa Reds -
TBD -
Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1
Toyama 2
Ryukyu 2
Yokohama FC 3
Gifu 1
Tokushima 0
Okayama -
TBD -
Kagoshima United 0
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1
Nagoya Grampus -
TBD -
Giravanz Kitakyushu 1
Iwaki 0
Kawasaki Frontale -
TBD -
Kumamoto 2
Oita Trinita 0
Kamatamare Sanuki 0
Chiba 2
SC Sagamihara 0
Iwata 3
Avispa Fukuoka -
TBD -
FC Osaka 3
Kofu 0
Reilac Shiga 0
Verdy 1
Nara Club 1
Sagan Tosu 2
Cerezo Osaka -
TBD -
Renofa Yamaguchi 0
Fujieda MYFC 2
Kochi United 0
V-Varen Nagasaki 1
Gainare Tottori 3
Omiya Ardija 1
FC Tokyo -
TBD -
Ehime 1
Blaublitz 0
Nagano Parceiro 0
Mito 1
Fukushima United 4
Vegalta Sendai 3
Machida Zelvia -
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Kyoto -
Kashiwa Reysol -
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TBD -
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Gamba Osaka -
