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SC Sagamihara vs Kagoshima United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J3 League Sagamihara Gion Stadium, Sagamihara
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
05:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SC Sagamihara host Kagoshima United in the J3 League. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Kagoshima United have shipped 1.07 goals a game lately, while SC Sagamihara have conceded 1.48 and scored 1.72. Past meetings favor Kagoshima United slightly — 0-5-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 16, 2025, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 1.50, favoring Kagoshima United. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
SC Sagamihara
30%
Draws
31%
Kagoshima United
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: SC Sagamihara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Kagoshima United carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Kagoshima United have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
SC Sagamihara Clean Sheet 68%
Kagoshima United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Sagamihara Kagoshima United
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 17
Draws 4 4
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.72 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2025 J3 League
Kagoshima United vs SC Sagamihara
3:0
Mar 1, 2025 J3 League
SC Sagamihara vs Kagoshima United
0:2
Sep 9, 2023 J3 League
SC Sagamihara vs Kagoshima United
0:3
Mar 26, 2023 J3 League
Kagoshima United vs SC Sagamihara
2:1
Aug 20, 2022 J3 League
SC Sagamihara vs Kagoshima United
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Sagamihara 41 / 100
Kagoshima United 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Sagamihara Kagoshima United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Sagamihara Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC Sagamihara's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Kagoshima United has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: SC Sagamihara stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SC Sagamihara VS Kagoshima United
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Sagamihara

(Home)
03 Nov
Gainare Tottori
0 : 1
SC Sagamihara
31 Oct
Kochi United
1 : 3
SC Sagamihara
24 Oct
SC Sagamihara
0 : 0
Tochigi SC
21 Oct
Gifu
2 : 1
SC Sagamihara
18 Oct
Reilac Shiga
0 : 2
SC Sagamihara
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Kagoshima United

(Away)
03 Nov
Renofa Yamaguchi
1 : 1
Kagoshima United
31 Oct
Kagoshima United
1 : 1
Kumamoto
24 Oct
FC Osaka
2 : 1
Kagoshima United
21 Oct
Kagoshima United
3 : 1
Kochi United
17 Oct
Kagoshima United
4 : 2
Ehime
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kagoshima United 15 9 4 2 29:18 31
2 Nara Club 15 9 2 4 28:21 29
3 Gifu 15 9 1 5 28:15 28
4 SC Sagamihara 15 8 4 3 25:15 28
5 Renofa Yamaguchi 15 8 3 4 20:12 27
6 FC Osaka 15 7 5 3 25:15 26
7 Ehime 15 8 2 5 30:25 26
8 Kumamoto 15 6 6 3 17:10 24
9 Ryukyu 15 7 2 6 23:20 23
10 Nagano Parceiro 15 7 2 6 22:20 23
11 Kanazawa 15 6 2 7 27:21 20
12 Giravanz Kitakyushu 15 5 4 6 21:23 19
13 Tochigi SC 15 4 6 5 14:16 18
14 Matsumoto Yamaga 15 4 5 6 15:17 17
15 Reilac Shiga 15 5 2 8 19:27 17
16 Fukushima United 15 4 3 8 27:32 15
17 Gainare Tottori 15 4 3 8 15:29 15
18 Thespakusatsu Gunma 15 4 1 10 12:29 13
19 Kamatamare Sanuki 15 3 2 10 16:27 11
20 Kochi United 15 2 3 10 10:31 9
Promotion - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J3 League (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - J3 League (Relegation)